Tropical Wave in East Atlantic (Ex 94L)

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Extremeweatherguy
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#61 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:54 am

wouldn't be surprised to see them upgrade this to a TD or even Debby sometime today.
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#62 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:55 am

tgenius wrote:Is there a chance that this gets updated without Recon via Sat Imagery? It sure looks pretty full already. :(



Yes, when it gets an eye, they'll upgrade it.

J/K. :lol: Yes, many of them get upgraded based on satellite imagery and other factors. They can't always use recon.
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#63 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:55 am

just curious, after Debbie, what's the next name?
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#64 Postby Lowpressure » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:55 am

tgenius wrote:Is there a chance that this gets updated without Recon via Sat Imagery? It sure looks pretty full already. :(


It may, if they combine obs with a Quicksat confirmation.
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#65 Postby Windsurfer_NYC » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:56 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Have they ever declared a storm a depression that close to the Africa cloast? I"m curious...

thanx in advance!
Dusty


I think 1973 TS Christine takes the cake!
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#66 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:56 am

cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:I actually hope this doesn't named first. Because then that would mean our 93L would probably "Ernesto".


Thunder,you dont like the name Ernesto?


Not for a storm. :wink:
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#67 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 14, 2006 10:57 am

Thunder44 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:I actually hope this doesn't named first. Because then that would mean our 93L would probably "Ernesto".


Thunder,you dont like the name Ernesto?


Not for a storm. :wink:

Pretty close though. :wink:
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#68 Postby caneseddy » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:00 am

Windsurfer_NYC wrote:
ConvergenceZone wrote:
Have they ever declared a storm a depression that close to the Africa cloast? I"m curious...

thanx in advance!
Dusty


I think 1973 TS Christine takes the cake!


You beat me to it...I was thinking Donna at first but that one formed at around 21 longitude...interestingly Donna is held responsible for a plane crash in Senegal that killed 64 people, so from the moment it came offshore, it was pretty potent already and we all know what Donna ended up doing
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#69 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:03 am

Image

What do we need at the moment for this system to get upgraded, a LLC?
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#70 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:04 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

What do we need at the moment for this system to get upgraded, a LLC?
yes, but for all we know this could very well already have one.
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#71 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:04 am

Image

TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FROM THE NHC!
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#72 Postby Lowpressure » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:06 am

Persistence of deep convection, and a LLC. Winds may be there, but NHC will need more data.
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#73 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:06 am

Uh oh. Good thing this is supposed to be a fish.
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#74 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:07 am

Weatherfreak14 wrote:Uh oh. Good thing this is supposed to be a fish.


Kinda reminds me of 2004's Danielle...
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#75 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:10 am

Image

Dry air and/or SAL, not a problem. Shear, it doesn't seem to be affecting the blob of convection at the moment. Sea-surface temperatures, 28ºC decreasing to 26ºC westward, but really good for development. Will it develop??? Lets just sit and wait, LIKE ALWAYS!!!
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#76 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:11 am

I think, in the end, we'll get Hurricane Debby out of this.
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#77 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:13 am

I agree this is a very very impressive especially right now.
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#78 Postby Frank2 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:18 am

It does - reminds me of Hurricane Frances (1980), which became a hurricane east of 30W, but, recurved early...

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atl ... /track.gif
Last edited by Frank2 on Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:21 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#79 Postby ConvergenceZone » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:20 am

Weatherfreak14 wrote:Uh oh. Good thing this is supposed to be a fish.



well, someone mentioned earlier, that the models turn it more towards the west after a few days as the weakness in the ridge fills and the high builds to the west, but I haven't looked at the maps myself, hopefully that will change.
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#80 Postby Damar91 » Mon Aug 14, 2006 11:22 am

Any record of a storm forming this far out and making it all the way to the CON US?
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