Hurricane Helene,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2
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Scorpion
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JonathanBelles
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Opal storm
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Scorpion
Opal storm wrote:I'm not buying into GFS until more models agree with it.It's so far out it will most likely change.I could see this brushing the Carolinas and the NE but no way it will head due west into FL IMO.
When a model changes its tune by 2000 miles due to the dropsonde info then I will get concerned.
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cycloneye
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JonathanBelles
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Obviously, the 00Z GFS is similar to the 18Z.
A very subtle difference appears to be that at the longer range, the high does not quite seem as strong. Helene moves a bit slower and looks like she recurves a bit farther east.
But in general the same.....the only differences appear at longer range.
A very subtle difference appears to be that at the longer range, the high does not quite seem as strong. Helene moves a bit slower and looks like she recurves a bit farther east.
But in general the same.....the only differences appear at longer range.
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Hurricaneman
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JonathanBelles
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sma10 wrote:Obviously, the 00Z GFS is similar to the 18Z.
A very subtle difference appears to be that at the longer range, the high does not quite seem as strong. Helene moves a bit slower and looks like she recurves a bit farther east.
But in general the same.....the only differences appear at longer range.
you right. Does recurve more east now at 216hr.....
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After all the "certainty" of the recurve for days now , it is pretty surprising that we are even having a discussion about a possible Fl or EC threat.
After tightly clustered models, it will be very interesting to see if they start to cluster to the west.
Reminders of Floyd and Andrew.....
After tightly clustered models, it will be very interesting to see if they start to cluster to the west.
Reminders of Floyd and Andrew.....
Last edited by fci on Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
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00z GFS at 360 Hours
Ok peeps here is the more complete loop.Looks like a Bermuda/New Foundland hit.
Ok peeps here is the more complete loop.Looks like a Bermuda/New Foundland hit.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Sep 16, 2006 11:56 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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