Tropical Depression Barry Main Thread

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#61 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:11 pm

67 knots at flight level=53.6 knots at surface
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#62 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:11 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:67 knots? That is HURRICANE force!!!

Special advisory, anyone?
At flight level it is.
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#63 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:13 pm

brunota2003 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:67 knots? That is HURRICANE force!!!

Special advisory, anyone?
At flight level it is.


I think we might see a special advisory at 65 mph with a hurricane watch...I do think this has been a tropical depression since yesterday afternoon and a tropical storm since early this morning...
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#64 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:13 pm

brunota2003 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:67 knots? That is HURRICANE force!!!

Special advisory, anyone?
At flight level it is.


Strong Cell
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#65 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:14 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:67 knots? That is HURRICANE force!!!

Special advisory, anyone?
At flight level it is.


I think we might see a special advisory at 65 mph with a hurricane watch...I do think this has been a tropical depression since yesterday afternoon and a tropical storm since early this morning...



Maybe not last night, but as early as 6 hours before the upgrade maybe? Also with a few 66,67 knot reports. I think its a good wind measurement. But the nhc experts will over look it to make sure.
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#66 Postby miamicanes177 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:15 pm

NHC will have to UP the wind speeds at the 7pm advisory due to the proof from recon. This actually has 60mph winds at the surface most likely.
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#67 Postby sevenleft » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:15 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:67 knots? That is HURRICANE force!!!

Special advisory, anyone?
Thats hurricane force at 600 feet above the surface. Thats prolly about 50-55MPH at the surface.
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#68 Postby sevenleft » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:16 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:67 knots? That is HURRICANE force!!!

Special advisory, anyone?
At flight level it is.


Strong Cell
Yep. Its prolly that one intense thunderstorm that is sitting right on top of the center.
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#69 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:16 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Well Well Welll Barry, Welcome to the S2K Family!


Well, well, well, my prediction of 23 storms is starting to look conservative!!!!!! :eek:
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#70 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:17 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:NHC will have to UP the wind speeds at the 7pm advisory due to the proof from recon. This actually has 60mph winds at the surface most likely.


At least 60mph, maybe 65mph. 67kt translates to 53kt at the surface.
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#71 Postby Dionne » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:17 pm

Will the NNE projected path hold true? I am concerned about the location of the low.....which last I saw was in the south central GOM. Any input welcomed.
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#72 Postby txwatcher91 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:18 pm

Opal storm wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:Sorry, I misunderstood your post. Still, the shear does not appear to be hurting Barry, yet.
I disagree, the center is struggling to wrap convection around and the entire west side of the system is dry as a bone.


Look at the latest image below. Convection is expanding over the center as I type.
Image
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#73 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:18 pm

would a stronger storm change the direction, I wonder?
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#74 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:18 pm

Dionne wrote:Will the NNE projected path hold true? I am concerned about the location of the low.....which last I saw was in the south central GOM. Any input welcomed.


Shear would destroy any storm in the central Gulf. It might be a blessing to turn your way.
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#75 Postby sevenleft » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:18 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:Well Well Welll Barry, Welcome to the S2K Family!


Well, well, well, my prediction of 23 storms is starting to look conservative!!!!!! :eek:
23 is never conservative.
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#76 Postby chris_fit » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:19 pm

Pressure 998mb in latest VDM
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#77 Postby Category 5 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:20 pm

Just curious. When was the last time a storm formed ON June 1st?
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#78 Postby B'hamBlazer » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:21 pm

That's some impressive strengthening given the type of shear it's had to deal with. I didn't think many forecasters had really thought this would strengthen at all... certainly not to that degree.
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#79 Postby sevenleft » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:21 pm

Just keep in mind those winds are very likely associated with a strong thunderstorm and not really with the circulation. There probably won't be a special advisory unless the convection remains consistent near/over the center and the winds persist.
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#80 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Jun 01, 2007 4:23 pm

I think they will do one more pass through to see if the winds are still that high, and then go from there.
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