Look at those Atlantic Anomalies

[HURAKAN]

There is a big difference between the Yucatan Peninsula to the central Atlantic. In 2005 the anomalies were a lot warmer compared to 2008.

[KWT]

Yeah but thats appears to be a fairly typical aspect of la nina spring's and is probably the reason why la ninas don't usually have huge numbers of tropical storms I'd guess.

[cycloneye]

The Eastern Atlantic is the most warmest region in the Atlantic Basin right now.

[canegrl04]

Another 30 days and the GOM should be a boiling bathtub

[KWT]

Yep the Atlantic is relaly warming up noiw like I thought it might, not surprising given the la nina has really decayed over the past few months and its feeding through to the Atlantic SSTa profile now.

Does look pretty above average in a lot of important areas.

[cycloneye]

Warming anomalies in eastern Atlantic.MDR is about average,GOM warming,Caribbean average,very warm subtropical Atlantic.

[Scorpion]

Hopefully a hurricane doesn't head up the East Coast.. that warm water would sure inhibit weakening.

[whereverwx]

Image

[KWT]

Yeah it does a little whereverwx, though the subtropical atlantic is a ltitle warmer now whilst the zone between 10-20N is a little cooler then it was in 2006.

[Aric Dunn]

Here is the big difference and is of serious concern! the sub tropical atlantic and northern atlantic are well above average as we have already seen!. the problem is each additional year that goes by where the north altlantic is as warn as it is will help keep the eastern atlantic warmer all year around and will allow for the MDR and caper verde area to warm up earlier and faster each year. which intern would allow for development farther east earlier in season ( as long other variables are in place). the images below are very important in pointing out that fact.

the first two are this year and last year and then this year and 2005

you can see from last year to this year the expanse of the 25c temps are way farther north past the azores which is not normal and actually the ssts are nearly 80 that far north .. so compare that to last year and you see the difference than compare that to 2005 and you see even a bigger difference. so the over all expanse of the 26c temps are going to much farther north than last year and will probably break some records!!
2007

2007


2008

2005

[Aric Dunn]

im trying to find previous year images of this one hoping to show the northern expanse of the 25c temps

[Ed Mahmoud]

Another 30 days and the GOM should be a boiling bathtub

Well, the GOM is pretty close to a boiling bath tub, but even when warmer than the Caribbean, most of the GOM will have lower heat content, due to a shallower depth of the warm water.

The GOM gets bathtub warm almost every summer, and hurricanes don't move through every summer. High SST is one factor, not the only factor.