NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC (Is invest 96L)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Riptide
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 753
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 23, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Cape May, New Jersey
Contact:

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#621 Postby Riptide » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:13 pm

ROCK wrote:
Ivanhater wrote:12z Euro..48 hours

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us




that looks like the YUC area.....hmmm...I wonder... :wink:

Perhaps a consolidation of both areas as that is 48 hours out.
0 likes   

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#622 Postby tolakram » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:14 pm

Euro just had to be different. :)
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#623 Postby ROCK » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:14 pm

I am betting the NHC was waiting on this EURO to come out to the public before tagging it.....JMO...
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#624 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:16 pm

12z Euro..72 hours

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#625 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:18 pm

96 hours...Eastern low taking over

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
Michael

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#626 Postby tolakram » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:22 pm

120 is the key. Will it show the same general area as the GFS?
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#627 Postby ROCK » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:22 pm

doesnt look consolidated...Just a broad area of a strung out low pressure area....sort of like what we have now.... :lol:

also that trof doesnt look to be digging that deep....
Last edited by ROCK on Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

SunnyThoughts
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2263
Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
Location: Pensacola, Florida

#628 Postby SunnyThoughts » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:22 pm

lol looks like it could be one of those huge gyre type systems, encompassing the entire gulf in that 96 hr euro pic.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#629 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:23 pm

120 hours...Euro joins GFS camp

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#630 Postby ROCK » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:26 pm

I love the EURO and will hug it until I die but that is one strung out blob. Almost wants to split the energy with part being picked up by the trof....weird...need a tag this thing and get this over with...
0 likes   

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 11497
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#631 Postby GCANE » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:26 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#632 Postby South Texas Storms » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:26 pm

Looks like another close call on the Euro. Could go either way right now.
0 likes   

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

#633 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:27 pm

The Euro is very similar to yesterdays 12z run. nothing new.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145323
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#634 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:28 pm

GCANE wrote:Anti-cyclone has formed at 17N 90W

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=


Very interesting development.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Weatherfreak000

#635 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:29 pm

LOL gotta make sure the model run is finished before making assumptions.... :wink:


And thus the Almighty EURO hath spoken.
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#636 Postby ROCK » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:29 pm

GCANE wrote:Anti-cyclone has formed at 17N 90W

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=



that would be our YUC swirl....
0 likes   

User avatar
Tireman4
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5853
Age: 59
Joined: Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:08 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#637 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:32 pm

ROCK wrote:I love the EURO and will hug it until I die but that is one strung out blob. Almost wants to split the energy with part being picked up by the trof....weird...need a tag this thing and get this over with...



Why does this thing look like mitosis trying to happen? LOL
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#638 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:33 pm

RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING :double:

Image

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
0 likes   
Michael

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#639 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:34 pm

cycloneye wrote:
GCANE wrote:Anti-cyclone has formed at 17N 90W

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=


Very interesting development.

well that not exaclty helpful since its south of the weak MLC OVER LAND which still puts 20 to 30 kts on it.
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: NW Carribean / Southern GOM / BOC

#640 Postby Aric Dunn » Wed Jun 20, 2012 1:35 pm



yep there is some 50kts in there and its not elongated. I dont that elongation will actually happen.

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... nds144.gif

edit by tolakram: direct image link removed
0 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: abajan, gib, Hypercane_Kyle, Ian2401, sasha_B and 43 guests