Wave WSW of CV Islands
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
The models will be all over the place at this point.Its a waiting game now.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
Remains at 40%
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC. WITHIN THIS REGION...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST CONCENTRATED IN AN AREA CENTERED ABOUT 850
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA...HOWEVER THIS WEATHER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE...AND DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS DISTURBANCE APPEARS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INTO CENTRAL
AMERICA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 1 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC. WITHIN THIS REGION...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST CONCENTRATED IN AN AREA CENTERED ABOUT 850
MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH...AND THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED SLIGHTLY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN SEA...HOWEVER THIS WEATHER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT CONDUCIVE...AND DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS DISTURBANCE APPEARS UNLIKELY BEFORE IT MOVES INTO CENTRAL
AMERICA IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...
OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
Where's Ivanhater tonight he must be taking the night off. The Nam isn't the same without him.
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- ConvergenceZone
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
boca wrote:Where's Ivanhater tonight he must be taking the night off. The Nam isn't the same without him.
I agree, I miss his posts...Probably much deserved night off though....
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
the reason it stays at 40% is b/c its still in the ITCZ...think that was pointed out a few pages back.
..I do think they should tag it though...

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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
ConvergenceZone wrote:boca wrote:Where's Ivanhater tonight he must be taking the night off. The Nam isn't the same without him.
I agree, I miss his posts...Probably much deserved night off though....
Our last lull for awhile...folks need to make hay while the sun shines
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
ROCK wrote:the reason it stays at 40% is b/c its still in the ITCZ...think that was pointed out a few pages back...I do think they should tag it though...
Agreed it actually should of been tagged at 8pm since it was at 40%.This should detatch itself off the ITCZ by tomorrow afternoon.
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
All i know is I hope the canadian is nowhere near close that's bringin a nice lil monster up the east coast
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
Wow...00z Nogaps is horrible for the Islands.,,
I see the GFS is similar hitting Florida

I see the GFS is similar hitting Florida

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Michael
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange

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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
[quote="Ivanhater"]Wow...00z Nogaps is horrible for the Islands.,,
I see the GFS is similar hitting Florida
quote]
There he is! Hope the vodka & cranberrys were good!
I see the GFS is similar hitting Florida
quote]
There he is! Hope the vodka & cranberrys were good!
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
Apparently Euro so far is stronger (develops a tropical storm and is similar to GFS) just north of Puerto Rico heading WNW
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Michael
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
SootyTern wrote:Ivanhater wrote:Wow...00z Nogaps is horrible for the Islands.,,
I see the GFS is similar hitting Florida
quote]
There he is! Hope the vodka & cranberrys were good!
They were tonight

Euro looks similar to the GFS through 120 hours with a developed system
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Michael
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So... we have an invest again eh? 

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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Ivanhater
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
00z Euro
150 hours...pulling away from Hispaniola after narrowly missing the island. Moving WNW to NW towards the southern Bahamas.
Edit: pulling info from another forum
150 hours...pulling away from Hispaniola after narrowly missing the island. Moving WNW to NW towards the southern Bahamas.
Edit: pulling info from another forum

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Michael
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Re: Wave WSW of CV Islands - Code Orange
168 hours: in Bahamas moving very slowly WNW
Info from another forum
Info from another forum
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Michael
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