Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

dwg71 · #641 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:01 pm

dry air has infiltrated center, that's good news. Also, if she comes in as cat 3/4 near beaumont Downtown Houston will look the same. That is 90-100 miles away and Hurricane force winds on west side only go out 50-60miles i believe.

#642 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:05 pm

dry air in the center? i missed that discussion, still looks pretty solid to me

dwg71 · #643 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:08 pm

CronkPSU wrote:dry air in the center? i missed that discussion, still looks pretty solid to me

look at water vapor on last page...

oneness · #644 Postby **oneness** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:10 pm

ERC decoupling becoming more obvious in the moisture loop (not dry air).

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

#645 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:11 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
Latest pic

dwg

i take it you are talking about this image?

nevermind, it is an updating image so it is useless now

#646 Postby **deltadog03** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:12 pm

she is about to get a going again...

dwg71 · #647 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:23 pm

yes cronk, I wish all i had to worry about this weekend was whether or not we can beat Iowa (tOSU fan). Also is my 10th wedding anniversary.

Thanks for the gift Rita..

#648 Postby **CronkPSU** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:27 pm

dwg

hey, my wife just gave birth yesterday to our second child(that is a GREAT distraction compared to Rita) so I may have some trouble enjoying the NW/PSU game as well

i hope you are right and some dry air/shear/another ERC (not likely) and/or some colder waters (just before landfall) break this bad girl down so i can watch these games and the newborn without worrying about another katrina tragedy

#649 Postby **jasons2k** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:41 pm

If you look at this loop, the NHC, overall, has nailed Rita at 24 hours out. Ususually 2 tracks the same before a shift. It's consistent. with the last 2 frames, it settled on McFaddin NWR - half way from High Island and Sabine PAss.

#650 Postby **Starburst** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:49 pm

Congratulations Cronk :wink:

dwg71 · #651 Postby **dwg71** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:50 pm

Starburst wrote:Congratulations Cronk

What about my 10th wedding anniversary??

superfly · #652 Postby **superfly** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:52 pm

ERC is complete, inner eyewall has collapsed. Let's see what Rita does now, I really hope she does not re-intensify into a cat 5 but I fear that she will.

#653 Postby **curtadams** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:52 pm

3:15 image Rita is starting to look disturbingly perfect - big round eye surrounded by a very thick but compact eyewall. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg Not as pretty as the usual spiralling and much more ominous. Now for 3 hours I wonder whether it's illusion or whether something historical is happening. I hate blackout.

#654 Postby **Starburst** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:55 pm

dwg71 wrote:
Starburst wrote:Congratulations Cronk

What about my 10th wedding anniversary??

Sorry dwg missed that one hazzards of skimming

Happy Anniversary!!

Dmetal81 · #655 Postby **Dmetal81** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:55 pm

curtadams wrote:3:15 image Rita is starting to look disturbingly perfect - big round eye surrounded by a very thick but compact eyewall. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg Not as pretty as the usual spiralling and much more ominous. Now for 3 hours I wonder whether it's illusion or whether something historical is happening. I hate blackout.

Im getting a little alarmed myself, suddenly a bit higher cloud tops blowing up FAR from the old eye. Hopefully cooler water temps will keep things from getting out of hand.........

joe_koehle · #656 Postby **joe_koehle** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:00 pm

when does the eclipse end at tonight?

oneness · #657 Postby **oneness** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:02 pm

Final IR into black out:

#658 Postby **Starburst** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:08 pm

I am not sure on this but I think someone said the eclipse ends at 2:00am please anyone correct if that statement is wrong cause that may not be correct.

Eyes2theSkies · #659 Postby **Eyes2theSkies** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:09 pm

going to bed now but have a feeling she will be close to a 5 when i wake up she is looking really good

mtm4319 · #660 Postby **mtm4319** » Thu Sep 22, 2005 11:15 pm

I'm not sure how accurate this picture is, but it looks like the ERC that has just completed came at a bad time. Rita is just now crossing 90W (at around 26N) -- you can see from that graph that the pressure simply had to rise above 910mb. But as we go into tomorrow, Rita will be moving into an area that can support pressures below 900mb (and cat-5 winds -- in fact, the area between Galveston Bay and TX/LA border could support winds of over 160 knots, and by that graph it's the only area in the Gulf that can support that). Seeing that Rita is now about 36 hours from landfall, is it possible that there will be no more ERCs before landfall, and that Rita could re-strengthen through the areas in dark blue and be at a secondary peak (i.e., not 897mb, but maybe closer to 910mb) at landfall?

Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Who is online