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Yellow Evan wrote:The high shear aloft has been forecast to decrease by the GFS as an upper trough was suppose to start recedding but like everything else it keeps getting pushed back. Also it just occurred to me today that the PDO is now slightly negative and has been much lower than any year since 2013. Why did I not notice this until today? I would not have predicted anything more than 15 or 16 systems then.
NotSparta wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:The high shear aloft has been forecast to decrease by the GFS as an upper trough was suppose to start recedding but like everything else it keeps getting pushed back. Also it just occurred to me today that the PDO is now slightly negative and has been much lower than any year since 2013. Why did I not notice this until today? I would not have predicted anything more than 15 or 16 systems then.
The monster +PMM could have caused a hyperactive season had it stayed around and caused favorable conditions
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