Rita Recon Reports

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 210012
AF302 1218A RITA HDOB 41 KNHC
0001 2338N 08301W 03048 5005 312 061 100 092 062 03093 0000000000
0001. 2339N 08259W 03049 5013 312 064 098 090 064 03086 0000000000
0002 2340N 08258W 03048 5022 309 065 102 094 066 03076 0000000000
0002. 2342N 08257W 03047 5032 309 067 106 102 069 03065 0000000000
0003 2343N 08256W 03048 5044 307 072 110 102 072 03054 0000000000
0003. 2344N 08254W 03053 5056 304 070 096 096 072 03046 0000000000
0004 2345N 08253W 03046 5073 305 073 090 090 075 03024 0000000000
0004. 2346N 08252W 03050 5086 302 073 090 090 080 03015 0000000000
0005 2347N 08251W 03044 5101 298 080 086 086 081 02993 0000000000
0005. 2349N 08249W 03051 5119 294 082 090 090 086 02982 0000000000
0006 2350N 08248W 03044 5135 294 061 116 116 069 02958 0000000000
0006. 2351N 08248W 03049 5147 292 049 134 122 050 02952 0000000000
0007 2353N 08247W 03047 5158 291 038 142 110 043 02939 0000000000
0007. 2355N 08247W 03048 5168 296 029 142 106 031 02930 0000000000
0008 2356N 08246W 03049 5175 304 023 136 106 026 02923 0000000000
0008. 2357N 08245W 03047 5180 329 017 136 110 019 02916 0000000000
0009 2359N 08244W 03049 5185 342 013 134 116 014 02914 0000000000
0009. 2400N 08243W 03048 5189 345 009 130 126 010 02909 0000000000
0010 2400N 08241W 03048 5192 002 001 136 118 004 02906 0000000000
0010. 2401N 08240W 03047 5193 142 011 146 098 015 02904 0000000000

Through the wall with 86kts.

[WindRunner]

103kts!!!!!

SXXX50 KNHC 210022
AF302 1218A RITA HDOB 42 KNHC
0011 2402N 08238W 03048 5192 154 024 150 110 027 02905 0000000000
0011. 2403N 08237W 03046 5189 152 031 150 114 032 02906 0000000000
0012 2404N 08235W 03050 5185 151 035 152 102 037 02915 0000000000
0012. 2406N 08234W 03048 5180 150 038 150 090 039 02918 0000000000
0013 2407N 08233W 03050 5173 151 044 142 094 047 02926 0000000000
0013. 2408N 08231W 03045 5166 151 050 140 112 052 02929 0000000000
0014 2409N 08230W 03047 5154 150 055 134 110 055 02942 0000000000
0014. 2409N 08229W 03051 5151 152 057 118 114 059 02949 0000000000
0015 2408N 08228W 03048 5147 155 060 116 116 060 02951 0000000000
0015. 2407N 08227W 03046 5141 160 063 108 108 063 02955 0000000000
0016 2406N 08228W 03052 5144 156 059 116 116 063 02958 0000000000
0016. 2407N 08230W 03045 5152 153 059 132 112 060 02943 0000000000
0017 2409N 08230W 03048 5151 149 058 126 114 059 02947 0000000000
0017. 2410N 08229W 03048 5148 149 065 116 116 066 02950 0000000000
0018 2412N 08228W 03049 5137 147 067 106 106 069 02961 0000000000
0018. 2413N 08226W 03048 5129 147 075 104 104 079 02969 0000000000
0019 2414N 08225W 03047 5112 144 075 108 108 077 02984 0000000000
0019. 2415N 08224W 03052 5099 149 089 100 100 101 03003 0000000100
0020 2416N 08223W 03042 5089 146 101 080 080 103 03003 0000000100
0020. 2417N 08221W 03050 5071 147 099 086 086 101 03029 0000000000

[krysof]

This may be a 115 mph major hurricane at 11:00 pm at this rate. That eye looks perfect.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its exploding big time!!! The reds are wraping around the eye with the eye clearing...I think we will have a major very soon!!! 957 millibars is my thinking for recon.

[MiamiensisWx]

On infra-red and visible imagery it now looks more like a Category Three storm...

[Brent]

5th major hurricane is imminent...

[fasterdisaster]

103kts!!!!!

OMG!!!

[WindRunner]

967mb

URNT12 KNHC 210027
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/00:09:50Z
B. 24 deg 00 min N
082 deg 41 min W
C. 700 mb 2818 m
D. NA kt
E. 000 deg 000 nm
F. 294 deg 086 kt
G. 213 deg 014 nm
H. 967 mb
I. 8 C/ 3053 m
J. 15 C/ 3050 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C32
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF302 1218A RITA OB 19
MAX FL WIND 94 KT NW QUAD 22:34:30 Z

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

That supports the 105 mph. It is 106 mph...

[Scorpion]

Whats the big deal about 103 kts. It supports 105 mph.

[jkt21787]

Whats the big deal about 103 kts. It supports 105 mph.

Its higher than what has been reported before then, sure it supports 105 mph, but it is an indication to me that it is intensifying.

[Brent]

Whats the big deal about 103 kts. It supports 105 mph.

The point is it's strengthening??

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 210032
AF302 1218A RITA HDOB 43 KNHC
0021 2418N 08220W 03048 5059 148 095 102 102 097 03039 0000000000
0021. 2420N 08219W 03049 5044 147 090 106 102 090 03055 0000000000
0022 2421N 08218W 03048 5033 150 088 090 090 089 03065 0000000000
0022. 2422N 08216W 03048 5021 151 085 084 084 086 03077 0000000000
0023 2423N 08215W 03048 5010 147 082 086 086 085 03088 0000000000
0023. 2424N 08214W 03054 5002 148 082 082 082 083 03102 0000000100
0024 2425N 08212W 03043 0004 150 084 074 074 085 03097 0000000100
0024. 2427N 08211W 03048 0011 150 077 078 078 080 03109 0000000100
0025 2428N 08210W 03046 0020 140 078 068 068 081 03116 0000000100
0025. 2429N 08209W 03048 0027 136 074 072 072 075 03125 0000000000
0026 2430N 08208W 03049 0031 132 071 078 078 072 03130 0000000000
0026. 2431N 08206W 03049 0036 132 073 088 088 075 03135 0000000000
0027 2432N 08205W 03048 0041 130 070 098 080 072 03139 0000000000
0027. 2433N 08204W 03048 0044 132 068 098 086 069 03142 0000000000
0028 2434N 08203W 03048 0049 136 067 096 094 068 03147 0000000000
0028. 2435N 08202W 03047 0054 135 067 096 094 067 03151 0000000000
0029 2436N 08200W 03048 0059 136 064 098 080 065 03156 0000000000
0029. 2438N 08159W 03050 0062 138 064 092 092 064 03162 0000000000
0030 2439N 08158W 03047 0065 140 063 090 090 063 03162 0000000000
0030. 2440N 08157W 03048 0068 138 061 088 088 062 03166 0000000000

[soonertwister]

Looks like Rita will be just short of explosive intensification over a 12 hour period. If Rita drops 17 mb to 950 mb at or before 8:15 am CDT, rapid deepening is confirmed.

[CronkPSU]

Looks like Rita will be just short of explosive intensification over a 12 hour period. If Rita drops 17 mb to 950 mb at or before 8:15 am CDT, rapid deepening is confirmed.

really irrelevant if it fits the textbook definition, this thing blew up big time today, let's hope it doesn't get any stronger the next few days

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 210042
AF302 1218A RITA HDOB 44 KNHC
0031 2441N 08156W 03048 0070 137 059 088 088 060 03168 0000000000
0031. 2442N 08154W 03047 0073 136 059 090 090 059 03170 0000000000
0032 2443N 08153W 03048 0075 135 058 088 088 059 03173 0000000000
0032. 2444N 08152W 03048 0077 134 060 090 090 060 03175 0000000000
0033 2445N 08151W 03048 0079 131 058 094 084 058 03177 0000000000
0033. 2447N 08150W 03049 0081 132 057 092 086 058 03179 0000000000
0034 2448N 08148W 03048 0082 132 058 088 078 058 03180 0000000000
0034. 2449N 08147W 03048 0079 139 055 068 068 056 03177 0000000000
0035 2450N 08146W 03057 0080 134 054 062 062 056 03188 0000000100
0035. 2451N 08145W 03059 0081 131 061 068 068 062 03190 0000000100
0036 2452N 08143W 03053 0087 132 066 066 066 069 03190 0000000100
0036. 2453N 08142W 03024 0091 136 067 064 064 069 03164 0000000100
0037 2454N 08141W 03054 0096 132 065 074 074 069 03200 0000000000
0037. 2455N 08140W 03048 0097 132 061 066 066 062 03195 0000000000
0038 2457N 08139W 03047 0098 133 058 076 076 059 03195 0000000000
0038. 2458N 08137W 03049 0099 134 054 078 078 055 03198 0000000000
0039 2459N 08136W 03048 0100 136 054 066 066 056 03199 0000000000
0039. 2500N 08135W 03045 0101 135 052 058 058 054 03196 0000000100
0040 2501N 08134W 03049 0103 134 052 072 072 053 03203 0000000000
0040. 2502N 08133W 03048 0104 134 056 074 074 057 03202 0000000000

[WindRunner]

Just noticed . . . last vortex finally reports a closed wall . . . the stage is now set for her to take off.

[HURAKAN]

Just noticed . . . last vortex finally reports a closed wall . . . the stage is now set for her to take off.

I'm pretty sure she is alreay flying high!

[Mac]

Looks like Rita will be just short of explosive intensification over a 12 hour period. If Rita drops 17 mb to 950 mb at or before 8:15 am CDT, rapid deepening is confirmed.

really irrelevant if it fits the textbook definition, this thing blew up big time today, let's hope it doesn't get any stronger the next few days

Wishful thinking, unfortunately. She's been going through this remarkable deepening while in 29 C waters. Very soon, she'll be in 30 to 31 C waters until she makes landfall. Given the synoptics that are setting up for her, I would be quite surprised if she didn't intensify further.

[WindRunner]

Moving west along the north side now.

SXXX50 KNHC 210052
AF302 1218A RITA HDOB 45 KNHC
0041 2503N 08131W 03048 0106 136 056 072 072 057 03204 0000000000
0041. 2504N 08130W 03048 0107 135 056 076 076 056 03205 0000000000
0042 2505N 08129W 03048 0107 137 057 076 076 057 03205 0000000000
0042. 2507N 08128W 03047 0107 139 057 076 076 057 03204 0000000000
0043 2508N 08126W 03047 0109 138 057 078 078 057 03207 0000000000
0043. 2509N 08125W 03049 0112 137 056 080 080 057 03211 0000000000
0044 2510N 08124W 03049 0114 136 056 080 080 056 03213 0000000000
0044. 2511N 08123W 03047 0114 136 055 076 076 055 03211 0000000000
0045 2512N 08121W 03050 0117 137 055 078 078 056 03217 0000000000
0045. 2513N 08120W 03045 0118 137 052 078 078 053 03212 0000000000
0046 2514N 08119W 03051 0120 134 051 084 062 051 03220 0000000000
0046. 2515N 08118W 03048 0121 136 050 084 068 051 03219 0000000000
0047 2517N 08117W 03049 0122 135 047 078 078 047 03221 0000000000
0047. 2518N 08115W 03047 0124 134 045 078 070 046 03221 0000000000
0048 2519N 08115W 03053 0130 135 046 080 064 047 03233 0000000000
0048. 2520N 08116W 03048 0129 130 046 084 064 047 03227 0000000000
0049 2520N 08118W 03043 0124 128 046 078 072 046 03218 0000000000
0049. 2520N 08120W 03049 0124 127 047 076 070 048 03223 0000000000
0050 2520N 08122W 03048 0123 125 048 080 068 049 03221 0000000000
0050. 2520N 08125W 03048 0122 127 050 076 076 052 03220 0000000000