Low Pressure in Gulf of Mexico

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HurricaneGirl
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#81 Postby HurricaneGirl » Tue May 19, 2009 5:17 pm

tina25 wrote:
TropicalWXMA wrote:Can you take a picture and post it? I'm interested to see what the sky looks like!

tina25 wrote:I'm in the Naples/Ft. Myers area and there is zero wind here. Clouds inland and north of me look very bizarre.


This is looking towards the north. I was out running errands earlier and I noticed how dark it looked inland. Just started pouring here.

Image

Image


Nice shots~~ 8-)
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#82 Postby ROCK » Tue May 19, 2009 5:21 pm

I have to agree with a weak low trying to spin up south of Tampa...clearly see this in this shot....devoid of convection though
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#83 Postby ROCK » Tue May 19, 2009 5:25 pm

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#84 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 19, 2009 5:47 pm

Image

Large disturbed area.
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#85 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue May 19, 2009 6:01 pm

hehe.. the remnants of 90L is circled in the image below.. been tracking it still has some circ to it.. lol probably some gusty winds to the central florida area..
you can see the leftover spin on long range radar people who have GR it shows up better. also in base velocity you can see the signature.. kind of funny i think.. lol

Image
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#86 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue May 19, 2009 6:07 pm

also check out the winds out at the 120 mile bouy ..!!! which is right in the middle of the remnants.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41010
nearly sustained TS force.. lol

that will all come ashore somewhere in central florida looks like just north of the cape..
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#87 Postby Bailey1777 » Tue May 19, 2009 6:46 pm

Aric, what will happen when ex 90L catches up with the circulation taking shape near the west Florida coast?
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#88 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue May 19, 2009 6:49 pm

Bailey1777 wrote:Arik, what will happen when ex 90L catches up with the circulation taking shape near the west Florida coast?

nothing.. it will be absorbed.. completely .. pretty much is already.. :)
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#89 Postby Category 5 » Tue May 19, 2009 7:00 pm

the air in the gulf is cool and very dry, way too much for any tropical (maybe even subtropical) development IMO. Anything that forms I think will be extratropical (it might even get choked out and dissipate)

If we had moist air out there, THEN we'd have something to talk about.
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#90 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue May 19, 2009 7:08 pm

Category 5 wrote:the air in the gulf is cool and very dry, way too much for any tropical (maybe even subtropical) development IMO. Anything that forms I think will be extratropical (it might even get choked out and dissipate)

If we had moist air out there, THEN we'd have something to talk about.



well its not going anywhere anytime soon and well anytime you have a surface low over warm water (warm meaning the gulf loop rest gulf just marginal) you have to keep watching ... until its gone there is always a chance ..
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#91 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 19, 2009 7:30 pm

Image
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Re:

#92 Postby TropicalWXMA » Tue May 19, 2009 7:43 pm

That is one SEXY lookin' image. :cheesy:

HURAKAN wrote:Image
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#93 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue May 19, 2009 7:44 pm

lol...
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#94 Postby HURAKAN » Tue May 19, 2009 7:47 pm

Image

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2009

GULF OF MEXICO...
AS OF 2100 UTC...A WARM FRONT EXTENDS ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM S OF JACKSONVILLE THROUGH TAMPA INTO A 1007 MB
LOW NEAR NAPLES. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS S FROM THE LOW ACROSS
THE ERN FLORIDA STRAITS TO OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND INTO THE WRN
CARIBBEAN. DOPPLER RADAR MOSAIC AND LIGHTNING DATA INDICATES
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF FLORIDA AND
MUCH OF THE E GULF NE OF A LINE FROM KEY WEST FLORIDA TO
GULFPORT MISSISSIPPI. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING DRIVEN FROM
A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 26N85W WITH A
EXPANSIVE AREA OF UPPER DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE NE GULF...FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND INTO THE W ATLC. AS THE SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL GULF STRONG NE
WINDS TO GALE FORCE ARE EXPECTED N OF 28N E OF 85W. A NARROW
SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE
WRN GULF AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY.
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Re:

#95 Postby tina25 » Tue May 19, 2009 7:52 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image


You may want to remove the image if that is your address peeking through the clouds. There are some crazies out there.
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#96 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 19, 2009 8:55 pm

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#97 Postby gatorcane » Tue May 19, 2009 9:19 pm

Winds are pretty impressive in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico (out over the open water) with gale force gusts. Here is an example:

Buoy 42036 - 106NM WNW of Tampa - NNE winds 31.1Kt gusts to 38.9kt

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/

Storm totals are even more impressive from this system with areas in NE FL near 1 ft of rain:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no
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Re:

#98 Postby Aric Dunn » Tue May 19, 2009 9:27 pm

gatorcane wrote:Winds are pretty impressive in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico (out over the open water) with gale force gusts. Here is an example:

Buoy 42036 - 106NM WNW of Tampa - NNE winds 31.1Kt gusts to 38.9kt

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/

Storm totals are even more impressive from this system with areas in NE FL near 1 ft of rain:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no



yes which is my area.. :)

remnants 90L coming ashore soon hehe...
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Re: Low Pressure at Fla Peninsula / EGOM / Model runs

#99 Postby wxman57 » Tue May 19, 2009 9:32 pm

That's all cool, dry air spilling out across the Gulf. With cool air over warm water, the wind offshore will be about twice that of over the land to the north. I think there will be too much cool and dry air flowing into this system for any significant development. Eventually, it should just spin down with decreasing convection, or it'll move inland on Friday/Saturday.
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#100 Postby AdamFirst » Tue May 19, 2009 9:47 pm

Mostly the east coast south of Vero Beach is high and dry, save an occasional cell or two.

With the ex-90L converging with this new low pressure spinning on the west coast, is there any chance that South Florida gets any more substantial rain?

I would prefer the constant soaking Daytona Beach has gotten rather than having drive-by showers.
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