Pouch PGI46L - Near Windwards - (Is invest 95L)

[Stormcenter]

What is going to happen?

It's going to happen!

[ConvergenceZone]

What is going to happen?

It's going to happen!

"It's" going to happen.

[HURAKAN]

What is going to happen?

It's going to happen!

I guess development

[Stormcenter]

Oh.....okay thanks.

What is going to happen?

It's going to happen!

I guess development

[baygirl_1]

New Orleans NWS mentions the tropics in their Area Forecast Discussion this afternoon, too:

.LONG TERM...OVERALL NO CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED ONCE AGAIN WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF REMOVING POPS ON MON. THE RIDGE WILL FIRMLY BE IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP
THINGS QUIET...WARM...AND DRY. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST
OVER THE SERN CONUS NEXT WEEK AND BY THE END OF THE WEEK COULD BE
OVER THE ERN SEABOARD. AGAIN WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE
TROPICS AS THIS DOES LEAVE US VULNERABLE TO SYSTEMS THAT DEVELOP IN
THE CARIBBEAN. A FEW MODELS ARE TRYING TO MOVE A DISTURBANCE THROUGH
THE CARIBBEAN LATE NEXT WEEK SO EVEN THOUGH THINGS HAVE BEEN QUIET
FOR OUR AREA IT HAS BEEN A BUSY MONTH FOR THE TROPICS OVERALL WITH 4
CAT 4S HAVING DEVELOPED SINCE AUG 27TH. /CAB/

[Stormcenter]

I believe they mentioned it on Monday too.
They tend to worship the GFS so it's understandable.

New Orleans NWS mentions the tropics in their Area Forecast Discussion this afternoon, too:

.LONG TERM...OVERALL NO CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED ONCE AGAIN WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF REMOVING POPS ON MON. THE RIDGE WILL FIRMLY BE IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP
THINGS QUIET...WARM...AND DRY. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EAST
OVER THE SERN CONUS NEXT WEEK AND BY THE END OF THE WEEK COULD BE
OVER THE ERN SEABOARD. AGAIN WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE
TROPICS AS THIS DOES LEAVE US VULNERABLE TO SYSTEMS THAT DEVELOP IN
THE CARIBBEAN. A FEW MODELS ARE TRYING TO MOVE A DISTURBANCE THROUGH
THE CARIBBEAN LATE NEXT WEEK SO EVEN THOUGH THINGS HAVE BEEN QUIET
FOR OUR AREA IT HAS BEEN A BUSY MONTH FOR THE TROPICS OVERALL WITH 4
CAT 4S HAVING DEVELOPED SINCE AUG 27TH. /CAB/

[Ivanhater]

Yeah, the Nola disco highlights the ridge sliding off the east coast leaving the Gulf vulnerable. Plenty of time to watch this one though if something develops.

[Ivanhater]

High resolution Euro finally updated. That is the vorticity in the Yucatan channel

[Ivanhater]

12z Canadian Ensemble mean is screaming for a pretty strong system in the NW Caribbean

[Ivanhater]

18z GFS 90 hours shows the culprit quite well

[Ivanhater]

150 hours

[ROCK]

The suspense is killing me!!!

[South Texas Storms]

haha rock get ready for A LOT more suspense during the next 2 weeks.

[South Texas Storms]

starts bombing at 192 hours in the central caribbean.

[Vortex]

looks like the yucatan on this run...

[South Texas Storms]

flip flop flip flop between texas and florida.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

haha rock get ready for A LOT more suspense during the next 2 weeks.

Yea with the ridge shifting it could get pretty wild out there Homeboy.

[Ivanhater]

228

[punkyg]

Please point out the spot that is forcasted to develop. I am a bit confused, are we talking about the area SE of Igor, or the area SE of Julia?

[South Texas Storms]

looks like a track similar to alex and karl on this run...this system looks to be pretty strong in size and strength according to the last few gfs runs.