2021 TCRs
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's
Short lived Tropical Storm Ignacio is up.
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MarioProtVI
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Re: 2021 TCR's
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062021_Fred.pdf
Fred is up. Down 2 mb to 991 and degenerated into a trough 18 hours earlier (00z 8/14 vs 18z). Interestingly enough it briefly regained TS intensity on the 13th before degenerating based on aircraft and ASCAT data during that period.
Fred is up. Down 2 mb to 991 and degenerated into a trough 18 hours earlier (00z 8/14 vs 18z). Interestingly enough it briefly regained TS intensity on the 13th before degenerating based on aircraft and ASCAT data during that period.
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ncforecaster89
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Re: 2021 TCR's: TS Fred is up
I feel that the observed 54 and 56 kt 1-minute sustained winds recorded at two separate sites support a 60 kt intensity for Fred’s landfall on the FL panhandle…if they were measured at the standard height of 10 m. It stands to reason that slightly higher winds existed than those that were measured by these anemometers.
Edit: Given it had very similar obs, it’s highly likely they set the landfall intensity at 55 kt for Elsa, as well…although I believe the same argument exists for 60 kt.
Edit: Given it had very similar obs, it’s highly likely they set the landfall intensity at 55 kt for Elsa, as well…although I believe the same argument exists for 60 kt.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's: Hurricane Pamela is up
Hurricane Pamela is up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's: Hurricane Pamela is up
cycloneye wrote:Hurricane Pamela is up.
Peak intensity down to 65 kt from 70 kt.
Also, this is quite hilarious:
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's
Tropical storms Kate, Victor and Kevin are up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's: TS Peter is up
TS Peter is up. Peak intensity was 45kt.
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galaxy401
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Re: 2021 TCR's:
Hurricane Larry is up:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL122021_Larry.pdf
In the Pacific, Carlos was released as well:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032021_Carlos.pdf
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL122021_Larry.pdf
In the Pacific, Carlos was released as well:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032021_Carlos.pdf
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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galaxy401
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's
Six to twelve more hours in the water, it would had been a hurricane.
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MHC Tracking
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Re: 2021 TCR's
It's possible it was anyways, as noted in the section about the "10 knot uncertainty bound". sadly, there was no reconnaissance, so we'll never know for sure
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Sciencerocks
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Re: 2021 TCR's
Claudette. Remains a tropical storm in the gulf and becomes one again off the east coast. peak of 40 knots.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032 ... udette.pdf
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032 ... udette.pdf
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galaxy401
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Re: 2021 TCR's: TS Claudette is up
Worth noting that Claudette became a Tropical Storm almost 12 hours earlier then operationally.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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galaxy401
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Re: 2021 TCR's
Hurricane Olaf is out: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152021_Olaf.pdf
Peak intensity at landfall raised to 90 kts.
Peak intensity at landfall raised to 90 kts.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's
The king of hurricane chasing Josh Morgerman once again nails another eye and provides valuable data.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's
Subtropical Storm Teresa report is up.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: 2021 TCR's
cycloneye wrote:The king of hurricane chasing Josh Morgerman once again nails another eye and provides valuable data.
https://i.imgur.com/Lq21LYe.jpg
Whose data was completely ignored by the NHC lol given the wind and pressure estimate lol.
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cycloneye
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Re: 2021 TCR's: Hurricanes Henri and Rick are up
Hurricanes Henri and Rick reports are up.
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Re: 2021 TCR's
NHC has updated Olaf’s landfall pressure to 975mb following iCyclone’s report that the minimum pressure was recorded in the eye.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC and NWS products.
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