Atlantic Waves,Discussions and sat pics

#81 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:00 pm

caribepr wrote:I'm thinking...mix Sahara dust with Montserrat ash (both brushed off every surface we have) and make some sort of brilliant product to sell.
For you who don't know, the beautiful orange Sahara dust, it will eat your car paint.
But how cool, that dust from the SAHARA DESERT!!! is on your car! The first time I saw it on my windowsill on St. Croix I left it there for a week, just amazed that such a thing could land on MY windowsill, so very far away!

Same thing happens in Puerto Rico with that bad combination of dust and ash.Thankfully not all the time we get those ash plumes as winds are generally from the east but when they blow from the SE is another story.

#82 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:06 pm

TROPICAL WAVE INTRODUCED BETWEEN THE AFRICAN COAST AND CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS ALONG 20W S OF 16N MOVING W 10-15 KT. UPPER AIR
DATA FROM DAKAR SHOWS THE WINDS BETWEEN 800 AND 950 MB VEERING
FROM N/NE TO E/SE OVERNIGHT AND VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A FAIRLY
NICE CIRCULATION IN THE CLOUD PATTERN ALONG THE ITCZ. DEEP
CONVECTION IS ALIGNED ALONG THE ITCZ

The above from 8:05 PM Discussion.

Hyperstorm this is the wave you were talking about earlier.

Hyperstorm · #83 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:25 pm

Let's see how it develops.

I'm thinking that it is in a fairly low latitude and there are no significant troughs or weaknesses to its north, which will keep it in a W-WNW track for a few days, with nothing to turn it north abruptly in the near future.

caribepr · #84 Postby **caribepr** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:27 pm

cycloneye wrote:
caribepr wrote:I'm thinking...mix Sahara dust with Montserrat ash (both brushed off every surface we have) and make some sort of brilliant product to sell.
For you who don't know, the beautiful orange Sahara dust, it will eat your car paint.
But how cool, that dust from the SAHARA DESERT!!! is on your car! The first time I saw it on my windowsill on St. Croix I left it there for a week, just amazed that such a thing could land on MY windowsill, so very far away!

Same thing happens in Puerto Rico with that bad combination of dust and ash.Thankfully not all the time we get those ash plumes as winds are generally from the east but when they blow from the SE is another story.

Yep. Volcano *snow*! and pretty sunsets (and the car wash guys get lucky!)

caribepr · #85 Postby **caribepr** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:29 pm

oops! double post, sorry

#86 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:33 pm

caribepr wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
caribepr wrote:I'm thinking...mix Sahara dust with Montserrat ash (both brushed off every surface we have) and make some sort of brilliant product to sell.
For you who don't know, the beautiful orange Sahara dust, it will eat your car paint.
But how cool, that dust from the SAHARA DESERT!!! is on your car! The first time I saw it on my windowsill on St. Croix I left it there for a week, just amazed that such a thing could land on MY windowsill, so very far away!

Same thing happens in Puerto Rico with that bad combination of dust and ash.Thankfully not all the time we get those ash plumes as winds are generally from the east but when they blow from the SE is another story.

Yep. Volcano *snow*! and pretty sunsets (and the car wash guys get lucky!)

You are right about the car wash people getting many $$$$$.

JTD · #87 Postby **JTD** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:40 pm

Wow. I had no idea that there was a vigorous Eastern Atlantic wave. This is incredible.

Luis, any guesses when we will see an invest on this?

#88 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Jul 23, 2005 7:43 pm

jason0509 wrote:Wow. I had no idea that there was a vigorous Eastern Atlantic wave. This is incredible.

Luis, any guesses when we will see an invest on this?

Well if it organizes in the next few days invest is a possibbilitie but if it not organizes then not.Still plenty of time to watch how the wave evolves.

#89 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:25 am

Wave behind the big one in front definitly has a circulation as it shows up in the pic at low latitud around 10n.Let's continue to watch it just in case it wants to form into Harvey yes I say that because the way this season is going everything develops. :roll:

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #90 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 5:44 am

I believe 1995, 19 named storms is in deep trouble. Then I think 1933 is getting closer. Lets see how many records this season can smash!!!

Also that tropical distrabance looks pretty good. It has some models support. In personally it could form over the next 3 or so days.

Hyperstorm · #91 Postby **Hyperstorm** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:20 am

This season doesn't cease to amaze me...Believe it or not, the two tropical waves in the Atlantic are slowly consolidating this morning.

Remember, the HUGE tropical wave that exited Africa earlier last week, but didn't develop because it was so broad and surrounded by dry air? Well, the system is getting into an area a little more favorable with warmer SSTs, less dry air and believe it or not, the low has contracted this morning. There are indications that convection is ready to fire up. If UL winds remain favorable, this one has potential to develop in the Caribbean. Here's an image showing exactly where I expect convection to pop up VERY soon...

Meanwhile, the eastern Atlantic tropical wave is still there and the area to watch for possible low pressure formation is showed in the next image...

LONG season ahead...

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #92 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:20 am

This season rocks!!!

Die 1933 die!!!

I agree they both have good chance.

#93 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:26 am

FAR E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 23W/24W S OF 16N MOVING W
10-15 KT. BROAD MID LEVEL TURNING IS OBSERVED ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO WITH THE ITCZ.

CENTRAL ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS FROM 22N47W THROUGH A 1011 MB LOW
NEAR 11N50W TO 7N51W MOVING W 15-20 KT. WELL-DEFINED...
PERSISTENT BROAD CURVATURE IS OBSERVED ON INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY WITH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED
BROAD AREA OF AFRICAN DUST COUPLED WITH DRY AIR ARE LIMITING
DEEP CONVECTION.

8:05 AM Discussion of both waves.

Amazing is the word I use.Dont be surprised if we see an invest for one of the waves or even 2 invests the way this season is going.Yes Hyperstorm the big wave has contracted it's low center and the wave behind has more convection consolidating slowly.

KatDaddy · #94 Postby **KatDaddy** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:32 am

Just think the real CV wave train has yet to start. Just about everything has become a tropical cyclone this season. Truley an amazing season.
At this rate I would not be surprised if the convection that moved into the NE GOM tried to develop!? This is the year we must watch every little distrubance......the insanity continues.

#95 Postby **Hurricanehink** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:52 am

KatDaddy wrote:Just think the real CV wave train has yet to start. Just about everything has become a tropical cyclone this season. Truley an amazing season.
At this rate I would not be surprised if the convection that moved into the NE GOM tried to develop!? This is the year we must watch every little distrubance......the insanity continues.

That is the perfect way to sum up the season. I'm worried that the western one will pull an Emily. It has a circulation. Once it got convection, Emily blew. The eastern one is looking onimous, too. When will they get a TWO mention :?:

Derek Ortt · #96 Postby **Derek Ortt** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 7:57 am

a request:

could we post images that fit in the screen so we dont have to scroll laterally?

wxwatcher91 · #97 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:01 am

Derek Ortt wrote:a request:

could we post images that fit in the screen so we dont have to scroll laterally?

I know what you mean but sometimes it cant be helped

#98 Postby **Trader Ron** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:15 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:This season rocks!!!

Die 1933 die!!!

I agree they both have good chance.

Hey Matt,

I'm getting a little tired of you, becoming a cheerleader for every named storm that forms!

wxwatcher91 · #99 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:21 am

Trader Ron wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:This season rocks!!!

Die 1933 die!!!

I agree they both have good chance.

Hey Matt,

I'm getting a little tired of you, becoming a cheerleader for every named storm that forms!

Trader Ron, I catch the drift you dont like to see tropical systems form. please, however, for the rest of us that find them exciting, dont bog down the excitement

#100 Postby **cycloneye** » Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:22 am

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