Epsilon,Final Comments,Sat Pics

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AZS
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#81 Postby AZS » Wed Nov 30, 2005 4:18 pm

South Epsilon, South !!!!

Go south and die there.

We don´t want you around here :grrr:
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weatherwindow
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#82 Postby weatherwindow » Wed Nov 30, 2005 5:38 pm

tampa bay dec 1, 1925..cat one........rich
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#83 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 5:50 pm

Still strengthining. Maybe a hurricane by tommrow.
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#84 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 5:56 pm

I would say it should be a hurricane by 10pm tonight! only needs another 5mph before its a Hurricane!
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#85 Postby mike815 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 6:33 pm

Yeah i kinda hope it will make it but remmember Delta.
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#86 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 6:48 pm

the over all structure of this one looks a whole lot better then Delta IMO so if any of the 2 had a shot at becoming a Hurricane I would have to say its deffently this one!
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#87 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Nov 30, 2005 7:05 pm

Image
Strange looking system, still going south?
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#88 Postby mike815 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 7:17 pm

That is strange.
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#89 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:00 pm

0000 models is it a cane???? :wall:
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#90 Postby P.K. » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:04 pm

They are being slow to release them just because I want to go to bed....... :lol:
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#91 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:05 pm

Latest NRL pic says 12/01 with 60kt so I think that what it is.
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#92 Postby cycloneye » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:06 pm

TROPICAL STORM EPSILON (AL292005) ON 20051201 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051201 0000 051201 1200 051202 0000 051202 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.7N 53.8W 30.1N 52.5W 31.3N 49.8W 33.0N 47.0W
BAMM 29.7N 53.8W 30.2N 53.2W 31.1N 51.4W 32.2N 49.2W
A98E 29.7N 53.8W 29.4N 52.4W 29.5N 50.2W 30.8N 46.9W
LBAR 29.7N 53.8W 30.2N 52.5W 31.1N 50.6W 32.5N 48.1W
SHIP 60KTS 59KTS 55KTS 49KTS
DSHP 60KTS 59KTS 55KTS 49KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051203 0000 051204 0000 051205 0000 051206 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 34.7N 44.5W 37.5N 41.8W 41.9N 40.2W 46.7N 34.4W
BAMM 33.0N 46.9W 33.7N 42.9W 34.8N 38.0W 36.2N 34.0W
A98E 32.5N 43.5W 34.9N 36.8W 37.4N 30.1W 40.6N 27.9W
LBAR 33.8N 46.3W 35.2N 41.8W 35.9N 37.7W 36.7N 32.8W
SHIP 44KTS 35KTS 32KTS 29KTS
DSHP 44KTS 35KTS 32KTS 29KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 29.7N LONCUR = 53.8W DIRCUR = 140DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 30.8N LONM12 = 53.5W DIRM12 = 236DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 31.4N LONM24 = 51.5W
WNDCUR = 60KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 55KT
CENPRS = 990MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 350NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 120NM RD34NW = 150NM

00:00z models does not have it as a hurricane.
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#93 Postby johngaltfla » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:11 pm

weatherwindow wrote:tampa bay dec 1, 1925..cat one........rich


Shhh. The weather Gods might hear you. :eek: :eek:
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#94 Postby WindRunner » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:20 pm

There definately isn't enough convection to be a cane right now . . . maybe later, before noon tomorrow if ever.
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#95 Postby Coredesat » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:24 pm

Epsilon's not looking too healthy right now, although the eye-like feature is still quite clear.
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#96 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:26 pm

Although it may not have enough convection for hurricane status, it appears to have gotten better organized with more convection now.
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#97 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Nov 30, 2005 8:35 pm

I say by the looks of it it may not have 70 mph winds. More like 55 to 60 mph winds. The convection is not very deep. In I was watching recon in storms this year. In storms like Emily,Rta,Katrina had to have very deep convection for them to make the 75 mph winds.
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#98 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Nov 30, 2005 11:54 pm

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#99 Postby fasterdisaster » Thu Dec 01, 2005 12:10 am

THAT'S GOT TO BE A HURRICANE!!!
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#100 Postby WxGuy1 » Thu Dec 01, 2005 12:38 am

fasterdisaster wrote:THAT'S GOT TO BE A HURRICANE!!!


Why do you say that? Cloud tops are warm by hurricane standards, and there haven't been any obs (microwave or otherwise) of hurricane-force winds.
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