16/1200 UTC 23.1N 107.0W T6.0/6.0 LANE -- East Pacific Ocean
6.0 T number means 115 kts:Look at chart of intensity.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html
Tropical Depression Lane in EPAC=Last Advisory Written
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cycloneye
- Admin
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Meso
- Category 5
- Posts: 1609
- Age: 38
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- Contact:
Wish I could speak spanish,such an awesome language.. anyway... How long exactly until Lane is forecast to make landfall? Just wondering since it looks pretty close to land and recon is only in like... 5 hours.
Edit: Wait... Nevermind... I might have had the times confused?
Edit: Wait... Nevermind... I might have had the times confused?
Last edited by Meso on Sat Sep 16, 2006 8:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146118
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
HURAKAN wrote:Pobre México, la situación tan mala en que vive la gente y ahora viene Lane a poner la situación peor todavía.
Poor Mexico, the situation of the people is already bad, now comes Lane and things will get worse for them.
Definitivamente una situacion bien peligrosa para todos los qye viven en esa area.
Definitly a very dangerous situation developing for those who live in the area of the path of Lane.
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StormScanWx
- Category 5
- Posts: 1242
- Joined: Mon Dec 05, 2005 7:53 pm
ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS. THE HURRICANE
WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTH OF EL
ROBLITO...AND FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALON
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 107.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 107.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 107.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.8N 107.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.9N 107.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 75SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 26.8N 107.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 27.8N 108.2W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 107.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
110kts
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1500 UTC SAT SEP 16 2006
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS. THE HURRICANE
WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTH OF EL
ROBLITO...AND FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT ALON
THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 107.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 50SW 45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 107.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 107.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 24.8N 107.4W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 25.9N 107.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 75SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 26.8N 107.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 27.8N 108.2W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 107.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
110kts
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Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
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Evil Jeremy
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5463
- Age: 32
- Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
- Location: Los Angeles, CA
000
WTPZ33 KNHC 161444
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LANE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS. THE HURRICANE
WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTH OF EL
ROBLITO...AND FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 200 MILES...320
KM...SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO.
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...23.5 N...107.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTPZ33 KNHC 161444
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LANE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
800 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE APPROACHING THE NORTHWEST
COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS. THE HURRICANE
WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTH OF EL
ROBLITO...AND FOR THE ISLAS MARIAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO AND ABOUT 200 MILES...320
KM...SOUTHEAST OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO.
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...23.5 N...107.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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AussieMark
- Category 5
- Posts: 5858
- Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
- Location: near Sydney, Australia
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LAwxrgal
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1763
- Joined: Tue Jul 06, 2004 1:05 pm
- Location: Reserve, LA (30 mi west of NOLA)
Refresh my memory, please -- Didn't Hurricane John make landfall in this same area as a Cat 2? If Lane is stronger and strengthening as it approaches the coast, wouldn't that be worse for the people in its path?
Prayers for them regardless...I don't want to hear the reports of mudslides and many deaths that could come out of this.
Prayers for them regardless...I don't want to hear the reports of mudslides and many deaths that could come out of this.
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146118
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
970
WTPZ33 KNHC 161747
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL
IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST OR ABOUT
60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CULIACAN MEXICO AND ABOUT
80 MILES...130 KM...NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. CAJON DE
PENA IN THE STATE OF JALISCO HAS REPORTED 7.36 INCHES OF RAIN
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...24.0 N...107.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
WTPZ33 KNHC 161747
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1100 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2006
...DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE LANE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL
IN NORTHWESTERN MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM EL ROBLITO TO TOPOLOBAMPO. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TOPOLOBAMPO TO
HUATABAMPITO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM SAN EVARISTO TO CABO SAN LUCAS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.2 WEST OR ABOUT
60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CULIACAN MEXICO AND ABOUT
80 MILES...130 KM...NORTHWEST OF MAZATLAN MEXICO.
LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF LANE ACROSS THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LANE IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL...
FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE LANE.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF
HURRICANE LANE.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS AREAS OF WEST-CENTRAL
MEXICO. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. CAJON DE
PENA IN THE STATE OF JALISCO HAS REPORTED 7.36 INCHES OF RAIN
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 1100 AM PDT POSITION...24.0 N...107.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
LAwxrgal wrote:Refresh my memory, please -- Didn't Hurricane John make landfall in this same area as a Cat 2? If Lane is stronger and strengthening as it approaches the coast, wouldn't that be worse for the people in its path?
Prayers for them regardless...I don't want to hear the reports of mudslides and many deaths that could come out of this.
Prayers from here too, hope everyone is safe there
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