Australia: TC Jacob: Landfall has occurred

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 21
Issued at 12:55 pm WDT on Saturday, 10 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 3 cyclone is current for coastal areas
from Onslow to Port Hedland.

A CYCLONE WATCH continues for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Onslow and Port
Hedland to Bidyadanga, and extending into the inland Pilbara to include
Paraburdoo, Tom Price, Newman, Nullagine and Marble Bar

At 12:00 pm WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone Jacob was estimated to be
770 kilometres northwest of Karratha and
900 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and
moving southeast at 19 kilometres per hour.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Jacob is expected to continue its southeast track in the
next 24 to 48 hours towards the Pilbara coast. Gales may commence on the Pilbara
coast between Onslow and Port Hedland as early as late Sunday afternoon and a
coastal crossing is possible overnight into Monday morning.

The system has shown recent signs of weakening. A Category 4 impact is now
considered less likely however residents should continue to plan for impact of a
severe tropical cyclone. At this stage it is not expected to reach the same
intensity as TC George prior to landfall.


Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone Jacob at 12:00 pm WDT.

Location of centre : within 55 kilometres of
latitude 16.5 south longitude 111.1 east
Recent movement : southeast at 19 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 964 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 170 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 3

FESA-State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal communities between Pardoo and Onslow
should commence taking precautions.
Other communities between Coral Bay and Bidyadanga, including the inland
Pilbara, should listen for the next advice.

The next warning will be issued by 4:00 pm WDT Saturday 10 March.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone





Weakens a little bit but still a major threat because of George's prior impact.

[ncupsscweather]

SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (JACOB) WARNING NR 010
WTXS32 PGTW 100300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (JACOB) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 16.2S 110.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S 110.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 17.5S 111.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 18.8S 113.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 20.1S 115.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 21.5S 116.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 24.1S 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 110.6E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z IS 25 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z AND 110300Z.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN

[ncupsscweather]

[ncupsscweather]

[AussieMark]

ncupsscweather can u upload that image to imageshack or something and link from there?

maybe its just me I just hate direct linking images to websites and using up their bandwidth

[ncupsscweather]

I will just stop posting images at all
and will post them else where

[Aslkahuna]

Keep a close eye on that inversion dominated SC field there the storm which indicates the presence of cooler air capped by a dry subsidence inversion. Like every other continent, the west coast of Australia has a region of upwelling like the US West Coast and Baja though not as strong.

Steve

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 23
Issued at 6:45 pm WDT on Saturday, 10 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 2 cyclone is current for coastal areas from
Onslow to Pardoo.

A CYCLONE WATCH continues for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Onslow and Pardoo
to Bidyadanga, extending into the inland Pilbara to include Paraburdoo, Tom
Price, Newman, Nullagine and Marble Bar

At 6:00 pm WDT Tropical Cyclone Jacob was estimated to be
545 kilometres north northwest of Exmouth and
620 kilometres northwest of Karratha and
moving southeast at 23 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob is expected to continue its southeast track in the next
24 to 48 hours towards the Pilbara coast. Gales may commence on the Pilbara
coast between Onslow and Pardoo late Sunday afternoon or evening and a coastal
crossing is possible overnight into Monday morning.

The system has shown recent signs of weakening and has been downgraded to
Category 2. It is still possible that TC Jacob will reintensify overnight back
to a Category 3 system and residents should continue to plan for the potential
impact of a severe tropical cyclone.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Jacob at 6:00 pm WDT.

Location of centre : within 55 kilometres of
latitude 17.4 south longitude 112.1 east
Recent movement : southeast at 23 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 972 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 2

FESA-State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal communities between Pardoo and Onslow
should commence taking precautions.
Other communities between Coral Bay and Bidyadanga, including the inland
Pilbara, should listen for the next advice.


The next warning will be issued by 10:00 pm WDT Saturday 10 March.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

[AussieMark]

Here is something interesting

most of the annual rainfall in the region is actually from cyclones

in the summer of 1923/24 Marble Bar which is just inland from Port Hedland

The world record for the longest sequence of days above 100°Fahrenheit is held by Marble Bar in the inland Pilbara district of Western Australia. The temperature, measured under standard exposure conditions, reached or exceeded the century mark every day from 31 October 1923 to 7 April 1924, a total of 160 days.

Temperatures above 100°F are common in Marble Bar and indeed throughout a wide area of northwestern Australia. On average, Marble Bar experiences about 154 such days each year. The town is far enough inland that, during the summer months, the only mechanisms likely to prevent the air from reaching such a temperature involve a southward excursion of humid air associated with the monsoon trough, or heavy cloud, and/or rain, in the immediate area. This may sometimes be associated with a tropical cyclone or a monsoon low. In the record year of 1923-24 the monsoon trough stayed well north, and the season was notable for its lack of cyclone activity. (In fact, the entire Australian continent was untouched by tropical cyclones throughout the season, a rare event in the 20th Century). The rainfall recorded at Marble Bar during the record 160 days was just 79 mm, most of it in two heavy, short-lived storms that developed after the heat of the day. Only a further 12 mm of rain fell before the following December. Severe drought prevailed across the Western Australian tropics, and stock losses were heavy. With no rain to speak of, and minimal cloud, there was nothing to relieve day after day of extreme heat.

Source

[AussieMark]

I will just stop posting images at all
and will post them else where

I never said you couldn't post images just using services like Imageshack is better where you are not using weather websites bandwidth by direct image posting.

That and I need to do horizontal scrolling because of the last one u posted which is annoying.

Can't u just resize it and upload it then post the image like that

http://imageshack.us/

[ncupsscweather]

[img][/img]

Hope that is better for ya

AussieMark

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 26
Issued at 4:00 am WDT on Sunday, 11 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 2 cyclone is current for coastal areas from
Coral Bay to Pardoo, and inland to Paraburdoo and Marble Bar.

A CYCLONE WATCH continues for coastal areas from Pardoo to Bidyadanga, and
inland to Newman.

At 3:00 am WDT Tropical Cyclone Jacob was estimated to be
440 kilometres west northwest of Karratha and
380 kilometres north northwest of Exmouth and
moving southeast at 20 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob is expected to continue its southeast track towards the
Pilbara coast.

Gales with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour may develop on the Pilbara coast
between Coral Bay and Pardoo later today.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob has weakened overnight. The chances of the cyclone
intensifying prior to landfall has now reduced although it may still cross as a
category 2 system resulting in potential DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 150
kilometres per hour near the centre developing before it crosses the coast
overnight Sunday or Monday morning.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Jacob at 3:00 am WDT.
Location of centre : within 55 kilometres of
latitude 18.6 south longitude 113.3 east
Recent movement : southeast at 20 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 970 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 2

FESA-State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal communities between Pardoo and Onslow
including Karratha, Dampier, Wickham, Port Samson, Roebourne and Port Hedland
should commence taking precautions.
Other communities between Coral Bay and Bidyadanga, including the inland
Pilbara, should listen for the next advice.

The next warning will be issued by 7:00 am WDT Sunday 11 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

[HURAKAN]

Getting close to landfall.

[CrazyC83]

That would be a tropical storm to us.

[ncupsscweather]

[img][/img]

[tropicana]

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 29
Issued at 10:50 am WDT on Sunday, 11 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

10am advice reissued to correct text - Gales not expected between Ningaloo and
Coral Bay.

A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 2 cyclone is current for coastal areas from
Ningaloo to Pardoo, and inland to Marble Bar and Tom Price. The CYCLONE WARNING
between Coral Bay and Ningaloo has been cancelled.

A CYCLONE WATCH continues for coastal areas from Pardoo to Bidyadanga, and
inland to Nullagine and Paraburdoo.
The CYCLONE WATCH for Newman has been cancelled.

At 9:00 am WDT Tropical Cyclone Jacob was estimated to be
390 kilometres northwest of Karratha and
535 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and
moving east southeast at 15 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob is expected to continue its southeast track towards the
Pilbara coast. GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour may develop on the
Pilbara coast between Exmouth and Pardoo tonight.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob is unlikely to significantly intensify prior to making
landfall. However, it may still cross as a category 2 system resulting in
potential DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour near the
centre developing before it reaches the coast on Monday.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Jacob at 9:00 am WDT.

Location of centre : within 55 kilometres of
latitude 18.7 south longitude 113.8 east
Recent movement : east southeast at 15 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 976 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 130 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 2

FESA-State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal communities between Pardoo and Onslow
including Karratha, Dampier, Wickham, Port Samson, Roebourne and Port Hedland
should commence taking precautions.
Other communities between Coral Bay and Bidyadanga, including the inland
Pilbara, should listen for the next advice.

The next warning will be issued by 1:00 pm WDT Sunday 11 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 30
Issued at 1:25 pm WDT on Sunday, 11 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

Re- issued for minor correction to details.

A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 1 cyclone is current for coastal areas from
Exmouth to Pardoo, , and inland to Marble Bar and Tom Price. The CYCLONE WARNING
between Coral Bay and Exmouth has been cancelled.

The CYCLONE WATCH for coastal areas from Pardoo to Bidyadanga, and inland to
Nullagine and Paraburdoo has been CANCELLED.

At 12:00 pm WDT Tropical Cyclone Jacob was estimated to be
335 kilometres west northwest of Karratha and
490 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and
moving southeast at 14 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob has continued to weaken and is now a Category 1 cyclone.
GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour may develop on the Pilbara coast
between Exmouth and Pardoo tonight.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob is expected to impact the coast overnight into Monday
morning as a category 1 system. Tropical Cyclone Jacob is unlikely to
significantly intensify prior to making landfall and may continue to weaken.

Most of the rainfall is expected to fall ahead of the system [i.e. to the south
and southwest of the centre] with little rainfall after the system crosses the
coast. Falls should taper off inland. Widespread accumulated totals of around
50mm, with isolated heavier falls are likely.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Jacob at 12:00 pm WDT.

Location of centre : within 19 kilometres of
latitude 19.2 south longitude 114.1 east
Recent movement : southeast at 14 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 984 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 110 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 1

FESA-State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal communities of Mardie, Dampier,
Karratha, Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson and Whim Creek should commence action
in readiness for potential cyclone impact.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near remaining coastal communities between Pardoo and
Onslow including Port Hedland should commence taking precautions.

The next warning will be issued by 4:00 pm WDT Sunday 11 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

_____________________________________________________________

Continues to weaken. A this point only a flooding concern.

[ncupsscweather]

Latest Radar image from Dampier, Australia

[img][/img]

[tropicana]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 33
Issued at 9:50 pm WDT on Sunday, 11 March 2007
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING for a CATEGORY 1 cyclone is current for coastal areas from
Mardie to Pardoo, and adjacent inland areas, including Pannawonica.

The CYCLONE WARNING from Onslow to Mardie is CANCELLED.

At 9:00 pm WDT Tropical Cyclone Jacob was estimated to be
175 kilometres northwest of Karratha and
315 kilometres west northwest of Port Hedland and
moving east southeast at 19 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Jacob remains a Category 1 cyclone, and is expected to move
closer to the coast on Monday morning. There are no indications that the system
will intensify over the next 24 hours.

GALES with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour may develop on the Pilbara coast
between Mardie and Whim Creek overnight, possibly extending to other parts of
the warning zone during Monday.

Tides will be higher than expected between Dampier and Port Hedland.

Most of the rainfall is expected to fall to the south and southwest of the
centre. Falls should taper off inland. Widespread accumulated totals of around
50mm, with isolated heavier falls, are likely.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Jacob at 9:00 pm WDT.

Location of centre : within 37 kilometres of
latitude 19.6 south longitude 115.7 east
Recent movement : east southeast at 19 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 984 hectopascals
Maximum wind gusts : 100 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 1

FESA-State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal communities of Mardie, Pannawonica,
Dampier, Karratha, Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson and Whim Creek should
commence action in preparation for potential cyclone impact.
BLUE ALERT: People in or near remaining coastal communities between Pardoo and
Mardie including Port Hedland should commence taking precautions.

The next warning will be issued by 1:00 am WDT Monday 12 March.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210

[HURAKAN]

The ghost of TC Jacob.