INVEST 92L SE GOM [NRL: 02L.BARRY], waiting for 5 pm NHC

[feederband]

Can I issue a wobble watch?

I think this would be a good time...

Can I issue a season dud?

Once were sure Barry won't reach Hurricane strength then yes...

OOPS i MEAN 92L

[feederband]

Season Cancel !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wait for the offical notice please..

[Opal storm]

The west side of this sytem is just filled with dry air, has a well defined center though. Looks just like Arlene of 2005.

[baitism]

A little surprised they are naming this already (if they are). All the dry air feeding into this could easily destroy it.

[tracyswfla]

Can I issue a wobble watch?

I think this would be a good time...

Can I issue a season dud?

Once were sure Barry won't reach Hurricane strength then yes...

Perish the thought of a hurricane. OMG.

[artist]

A little surprised they are naming this already (if they are). All the dry air feeding into this could easily destroy it.

It doesn't matter what can happen - it is what has happened for it to be named.

[Aric Dunn]

The west side of this sytem is just filled with dry air, has a well defined center though. Looks just like Arlene of 2005.

or better yet Alberto from last year

[Janie2006]

Alberto is turning out to be a pretty good analog for this system. Nice call.

[tracyswfla]

Think NHC will wait for 5 or do a special Tropical Disturbance statement, followed by the usual 5pm..

[caneman]

The west side of this sytem is just filled with dry air, has a well defined center though. Looks just like Arlene of 2005.

or better yet Alberto from last year

Agreed, this is a pretty typical pattern setup for this time of year when a system presents itself.

[brunota2003]

Looks like a 45 MPH TS at 5, per NRL:
02LNONAME.40kts-1004mb

[JonathanBelles]

2 storms for florida so far this year, hopefully not a trend.

[feederband]

2 storms for florida so far this year, hopefully not a trend.

If they are week we will take 50 of them.

[Janie2006]

2 storms for florida so far this year, hopefully not a trend.

If they are week we will take 50 of them.

Will that be the 6-pack or the 24-case, sir?

[THead]

2 storms for florida so far this year, hopefully not a trend.

If they are week we will take 50 of them.

No kiddin, and send the remnants up to N. Georgia too!

[SouthFloridawx]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Tropical storm noname

The broad low pressure that has been around the northwest Caribbean and the Southern Gulf of Mexico for the last few days, has repaidly becoming much better developed today. Latest visible shows a well defined LLC moving east-northeastward. With a burst of convection forming on the northern side of the system. Over the next 6-12 hours while its moving over the loop current expect some slow strengthing. Overall shear doe's not appear to be strong enough to hurt the system or slow any kind of strengthing down. I expect as the system is being turned more Northward after 12 hours that the overall shear should start effecting it. Right now it is running with the shear...Recon found a warm core and a closed LLC with winds of 52 knots at flight level. Expect the system to be upgraded to near 40-45 knots. I expect as the convection forms over the LLC that this system could develop to 50 knots by 12 hours...

Movement should be east-northeastward for the next 12 hours, fellowed by a turn more northeastward after 18-24 hours. The system should make landfall in Florida as a 45 knot tropical storm. It could be some what stronger...We will see.

[windstorm99]

Recon flying around 500 feet reported winds up to 60 mph.

[drezee]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Tropical storm noname

The broad low pressure that has been around the northwest Caribbean and the Southern Gulf of Mexico for the last few days, has repaidly becoming much better developed today. Latest visible shows a well defined LLC moving east-northeastward. With a burst of convection forming on the northern side of the system. Over the next 6-12 hours while its moving over the loop current expect some slow strengthing. Overall shear doe's not appear to be strong enough to hurt the system or slow any kind of strengthing down. I expect as the system is being turned more Northward after 12 hours that the overall shear should start effecting it. Right now it is running with the shear...Recon found a warm core and a closed LLC with winds of 52 knots at flight level. Expect the system to be upgraded to near 40-45 knots. I expect as the convection forms over the LLC that this system could develop to 50 knots by 12 hours...

Movement should be east-northeastward for the next 12 hours, fellowed by a turn more northeastward after 18-24 hours. The system should make landfall in Florida as a 45 knot tropical storm. It could be some what stronger...We will see.

it is moving NNE

[AnnularCane]

Awww, look at him. He looks like he's just peeking out from under the clouds. Come on, Barry, don't be shy!