Tropical Wave in Western Caribbean

[windstorm99]

We'll see if convection persist through the night time hours and into tommorow morning.

[meteorologyman]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

as I said before there is dry air west of the wave and there is high pressure siting on top of that dry air, however as storm moves west the gfs shows the high pressure dissipating and the low to no shear appears. right now i don't see much developement but if it hangs on for next 24 to 36 hours we may have something

link : under 300-850mb Shear Magnitude
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/

[dixiebreeze]

Don't see much to inhibit this if it decides to start generating:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/wv-l.jpg

[CrazyC83]

They should declare it 97L though...

[ronjon]

We'll need to monitor the island stations pressure and wind direction over the next 12-24 hours on this one for signs of development. Here is a good link for all the caribbean stations. Just double click the big red dot for station info.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/caribm.html

[Sanibel]

A sign of potential development is red-ir bursting tops in the bands accompanied by a red-ir bursting center. This has both.

Any system that develops (or flares red ir) in the east Caribbean "zone" is telling you something right there alone.

The central convective area in the middle of the curved convection is 'sticking' in one spot - Another sign of surface organization.

Minuses: Too much dry air in the bands.

[gatorcane]

Look at how massive the area is. For example it takes up all of Florida with no problem...

[canegrl04]

Maybe we'll get an INVEST before the weekend Cleared for takeoff

[meteorologyman]

On weather Channel website
The Sea "SURFACE" temperature of where the wave is positioned is at 83F to 84 F and as it moves W NW the temps will be in 85F the majority of the Gulf is at 86F

[gatorcane]

almost August. We are right on time with this one...

I've also noticed that here in South Florida we have finally got into the "deep summer" mode weather pattern with steady easterlies and pops over the everglades...

[HURAKAN]

Flood Statement for Eastern Puerto Rico.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?w ... +Statement

Flood Statement for the Virgin Islands.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?w ... +Statement

[windstorm99]

[Opal storm]

Eh...like to see more persistence and organization before I jump on the bandwagon.

[gatorcane]

Can we get the NHC Atlantic Floater on this thing....?

Atlantic Wide View IR:

[punkyg]

Does this thing have a low with it yet?




I'm doing this on my wii.

[hial2]

[quote="storms in NC"]
I will be gone the rest of the day. Have Doc Appt to see if I have cancer or not.
I look and see how things changed when I get back.

!!!!!!!!!! PLEASE let us know what the doc says !!!!!!!...I am a cancer survivor..

[meteorologyman]

Can we get the NHC Atlantic Floater on this thing....?

Atlantic Wide View IR:

theres red orange thingy heading to the square thingy. lol
Puerto Rico get ready for some heavy down pours

[TheRingo]

the shear map seems to show an anticyclone.

[Normandy]

Sorry, just dont see what the big deal is. Looks awful to me.

[Aric Dunn]

i would expect something north of the islands .. rather in the carrib..