Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

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CrazyC83
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#81 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 30, 2007 10:26 pm

We now have 2 potential storms brewing - both 94L and 96L have legitimate chances of becoming named storms...
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#82 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 31, 2007 5:20 am

Dean.
Landfalling Category 5 Hurricane.

Any talk of a dud season should STOP with that.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#83 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri Aug 31, 2007 7:27 am

I meant aside from Dean, which was very powerful.
It appears now that things will get more active with 94L.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#84 Postby Patrick99 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 7:47 am

That wave that came off Africa a day or so ago really got its *** kicked. I hold to my feeling that there won't be any East Atlantic/Cape Verde development this year. If the waves can hold together until they reach a certain point, as Dean did and it appears 94L is doing, that seems to be the key.
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#85 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Aug 31, 2007 3:59 pm

lol. Ironic that now just 2 days after this thread was started we have what will probably be our 6th named storm of the season. I don't think it will be a "dud" at all. With 6 storms by September 1st, I think a final number of 12-14 sounds very possible for the 2007 hurricane season.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#86 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 31, 2007 4:25 pm

Patrick99 wrote:That wave that came off Africa a day or so ago really got its *** kicked. I hold to my feeling that there won't be any East Atlantic/Cape Verde development this year. If the waves can hold together until they reach a certain point, as Dean did and it appears 94L is doing, that seems to be the key.



I agree , the cape verde season will be winding down and the outlook for the east coast is looking better and better, especially as these fronts start dropping down protecting the east coast..Looking good folks....
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#87 Postby Cyclone1 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 4:45 pm

ConvergenceZone wrote:
Patrick99 wrote:That wave that came off Africa a day or so ago really got its *** kicked. I hold to my feeling that there won't be any East Atlantic/Cape Verde development this year. If the waves can hold together until they reach a certain point, as Dean did and it appears 94L is doing, that seems to be the key.



I agree , the cape verde season will be winding down and the outlook for the east coast is looking better and better, especially as these fronts start dropping down protecting the east coast..Looking good folks....

I disagree. Cape Verde happens to peak half a month from now. Dean formed before 35W, which in my book qualifies it as a Cape Verde storm in itself. Fronts dropping down will have no effect on storms that reach the Western Caribbean, unless that front steers it into Florida. Don't let your guard down folks. Please. This season is FAR from cancelled...

Edit: Hmm, reading your post again, I do agree of the East Coast's relative safety. However, it's still out in the open, September is when the EC storms start.
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Re:

#88 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 31, 2007 5:23 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:lol. Ironic that now just 2 days after this thread was started we have what will probably be our 6th named storm of the season. I don't think it will be a "dud" at all. With 6 storms by September 1st, I think a final number of 12-14 sounds very possible for the 2007 hurricane season.


Yep, that was exactly my point yesterday...it's not even Sep. yet
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Re: Re:

#89 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 5:45 pm

jschlitz wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:lol. Ironic that now just 2 days after this thread was started we have what will probably be our 6th named storm of the season. I don't think it will be a "dud" at all. With 6 storms by September 1st, I think a final number of 12-14 sounds very possible for the 2007 hurricane season.


Yep, that was exactly my point yesterday...it's not even Sep. yet


In hurricane season time, its Sept in about and hour and 15 minutes.

12 storms is a dud (in some eyes) compared to what was forecast - 17. 12 is about average or slightly above. And we are still only at 5 named storms.
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Re: Re:

#90 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 31, 2007 6:17 pm

dwg71 wrote:
jschlitz wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:lol. Ironic that now just 2 days after this thread was started we have what will probably be our 6th named storm of the season. I don't think it will be a "dud" at all. With 6 storms by September 1st, I think a final number of 12-14 sounds very possible for the 2007 hurricane season.


Yep, that was exactly my point yesterday...it's not even Sep. yet


In hurricane season time, its Sept in about and hour and 15 minutes.

12 storms is a dud (in some eyes) compared to what was forecast - 17. 12 is about average or slightly above. And we are still only at 5 named storms.


Well barring something drastic overnight we'll have 6 by morning. I think 12 might be low considering September/October are ahead.
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Re: Re:

#91 Postby Cyclone1 » Fri Aug 31, 2007 6:22 pm

Brent: I agree, I think we'll peak late this year, September 25 - October 15-ish.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#92 Postby Opal storm » Fri Aug 31, 2007 6:24 pm

Gatorcane, go tell the folks in the Caribbean and the Yucatan that this season has been a dud. They just got over a very devestating storm and yet another one is brewing and taking the same track as Dean.

Just because 5 major hurricanes have not hit Florida doesn't mean this season is a dud. Maybe by the numbers this season has been a little slow,yes. But physically this season has been FAR from a dud due to Dean.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#93 Postby jinftl » Fri Aug 31, 2007 6:45 pm

This season has seen the first landfalling Cat 5 in 15 years!!! Granted, it was not in the U.S., but don't underestimate the scope of this storm to the people who went through it.

All we need is a weakness in the ridge to take place....the kind that we typically see as we move into Fall....and these long trackers won't be staying so far south!!!
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#94 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Fri Aug 31, 2007 7:27 pm

Dean was horrific of course. But aside from dean it had
been quiet as of 2 days ago.

But now, we will likely have Felix
the Monster Cat in the coming days.

So, the season has really ramped up.

Of course, Dean was historic and very devastating, there's
no denying that.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#95 Postby Eyewall » Fri Aug 31, 2007 8:15 pm

this is how i feel.. 6 named storms yes.. only one that was interesting
this season is a dud untill we have 3 or more major hurricanes
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#96 Postby jasons2k » Fri Aug 31, 2007 9:29 pm

Unfortunately we might have major #2 already in the works.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#97 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 31, 2007 9:41 pm

Opal storm wrote:Gatorcane, go tell the folks in the Caribbean and the Yucatan that this season has been a dud. They just got over a very devestating storm and yet another one is brewing and taking the same track as Dean.

Just because 5 major hurricanes have not hit Florida doesn't mean this season is a dud. Maybe by the numbers this season has been a little slow,yes. But physically this season has been FAR from a dud due to Dean.


That's what we are talking about, numbers, not how was cat 5 storm formed. If that was the case, the NHC would predict alot lower numbers...The NHC predicted fairly high numbers and we aren't seeing them yet, so it's a dud as far as that's concerned.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#98 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 31, 2007 9:46 pm

None the less, it will be interesting to see what happens. I think having all of these different opinions on the season is what makes discussing this fun!.......I think if the seasons were predictable, the tropics would be more of a bore...
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#99 Postby Normandy » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:20 pm

I know one thing.
This season is looking like its going to be one of the most destructive Duds in tropical weather history.
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Re: Season Cancel? Switch Has Yet to Turn On

#100 Postby Coredesat » Fri Aug 31, 2007 11:45 pm

Opal storm wrote:Just because 5 major hurricanes have not hit Florida doesn't mean this season is a dud. Maybe by the numbers this season has been a little slow,yes. But physically this season has been FAR from a dud due to Dean.


Truer words have never been spoken.
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