2015 EPAC Season

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CrazyC83
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Re: 2015 EPAC Season

#881 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Nov 30, 2015 8:16 pm

dexterlabio wrote:Do you think we will get a December CANE? With the way things were going in the EPAC, I wouldn't be surprised.


Certainly the conditions should continue to allow hurricanes at least in the southeastern part of the basin through Christmas. Like 2005 in the Atlantic, I wouldn't call hurricane season "over" in the Pacific yet, at least not this year.
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#882 Postby WeatherGuesser » Mon Nov 30, 2015 9:18 pm

ABPZ20 KNHC 302332
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
400 PM PST MON NOV 30 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg



Well, 5 days gets into the first week of December, so ......
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Re: 2015 EPAC Season

#883 Postby Ntxw » Mon Nov 30, 2015 10:12 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
dexterlabio wrote:Do you think we will get a December CANE? With the way things were going in the EPAC, I wouldn't be surprised.


Certainly the conditions should continue to allow hurricanes at least in the southeastern part of the basin through Christmas. Like 2005 in the Atlantic, I wouldn't call hurricane season "over" in the Pacific yet, at least not this year.


Maybe we'll get those freak ones that form far south of Hawaii like Ekeka. Something in the central Pacific due to crazy warmth in Nino 4 and 3.4
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#884 Postby Darvince » Tue Dec 01, 2015 3:53 am

Well, the GFS has certainly been determined to show the potential for the possibility of Pali, Terry, and/or Ulika over the next two weeks.
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Re:

#885 Postby Kingarabian » Tue Dec 01, 2015 5:45 pm

Darvince wrote:Well, the GFS has certainly been determined to show the potential for the possibility of Pali, Terry, and/or Ulika over the next two weeks.


This would seem plausible if and only if we have a WWB event.
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#886 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Dec 08, 2015 6:58 am

Going, going ....
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#887 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Dec 15, 2015 3:03 am

... going ....
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#888 Postby HurricaneRyan » Wed Dec 23, 2015 3:31 pm

Gone ;)
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#889 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Dec 29, 2015 4:26 pm

With 99W drifting into the CPac, it is entirely possible that it could become classified east of the dateline before the year's end. The season east of the dateline might not quite be over yet, meaning it might be possible to add a little more ACE.
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#890 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Dec 29, 2015 5:16 pm

Well, it ain 't got a whole passel of time pardner.
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#891 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Dec 29, 2015 5:31 pm

You're right, there is just over 48 hours left of the year. However, considering its current state of organization, having 99W develop before the New Year is not a terribly far-fetched idea.

Image

99W is the system in the bottom-right of the frame, the equator is the latitude line just to the south of the system, and the International Dateline is the longitude line just to the west.
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#892 Postby WeatherGuesser » Thu Dec 31, 2015 6:30 pm

No banana.
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Re:

#893 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Dec 31, 2015 7:12 pm

WeatherGuesser wrote:No banana.


It's gonna be disputed regardless. 1992 needs to be re-analyzed
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#894 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Dec 31, 2015 11:46 pm

There are only a few minutes left in the season and there doesn't appear to be a last minute cyclone to send the ACE higher, drats!! :(
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