Persistent trough in east just like 2004

[boca]

It seems like we've been in this pattern for over a month now with the trough in the east.Either the trough moves east and sits off the east coast or one develops along the east coast and retrogrades the high into the GOM. The Bermuda high seems like its displaced to the east again.I know things can change especially in August and September but were protected for now for any storm coming from the ESE,not from the Western Caribbean though.In 2004 the pattern did change which caused Frances and Jeanne.Lets see what happens this season.

[tomboudreau]

I have to agree with you Boca. It has been very wet around these parts, just like the summer of 04 was. I told my wife the other week, this feels like 04 with the constant rains coming and the cooler then normal temps that we are having also. I just wish I had started keeping weather records back then so I could compare the two years. I just hope we dont end up with the end results like 04 when Ivan made his way up here and brought horrific flooding, just days after Jeanne brought heavy rain.

[Sanibel]

That pattern has kept the GOM and Caribbean hostile for formation. I think we'll see changes in 6 weeks.

We still haven't had any rains over 2/3rd's of an inch here. Mostly a tenth or less than a quarter inch. Normally we get a few bucket dumpers of 3 inches or more during rainy season. How that reflects the hurricane pattern I have no idea.

[mph101]

You mean 2004 Bonnie & Charley.... and then Ivan

[Derek Ortt]

the east coast trough in August 2004 was terribly located

all it did was bring Hurricanes Alex, Charley, and Gaston into the Carolinas within 4 weeks

[Blown Away]

the east coast trough in August 2004 was terribly located

all it did was bring Hurricanes Alex, Charley, and Gaston into the Carolinas within 4 weeks

Any indication how the setup will be this year, any similarities to 2004?

[boca]

the east coast trough in August 2004 was terribly located

all it did was bring Hurricanes Alex, Charley, and Gaston into the Carolinas within 4 weeks

Any indication how the setup will be this year, any similarities to 2004?

That's the million dollar question when will the Bermuda high expand its muscle. I'm thinking middle of August as a guess.As long as we have these troughs the storms will recurve. We are on a 5 to 6 day cycle with these progressive troughs either their moving east to west or developing and retrograding everything to 90w.

[southerngreen]

i've been out of the loop for a few days - my husband asked me this question & i can't explain it so i'm hoping some here can

"is the bermuda high strong enough to keep bertha from getting sucked into the southward bound weather sweeping down the eastern seaboard right now?"

by the way - we have frog-stranglers here almost every day (just east of tampa) for over a week & we have seen lots of rain previous to that. i didn't keep records in 2004 either, but it does seem very much like the pattern of weather that year, at least locally.