Possible development south of Bermuda

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Possible development south of Bermuda

#1 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:29 pm

Not even sure what to make of this. but yesterday i noticed a naked swirl south of brumuda and thought nothing of it.
But now all day today its been gaining convection and already has clear circualtion. It is small however but has great upper environment, warm water, and well nothing to stop it. if that convection keeps increasing we may see something try to get going....
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html
Image
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

#2 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:31 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl.html
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: Interesting feature ...... ??

#3 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 19, 2008 2:43 pm

im serious

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dizzyfish
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1519
Joined: Fri Sep 16, 2005 7:56 am
Location: New Port Richey, FL

Re: Interesting feature ...... ??

#4 Postby dizzyfish » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:04 pm

I can't say that I see any spin - at least from the few images I have looked at.
Nice blowup of convection though.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: Interesting feature ...... ??

#5 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:08 pm

dizzyfish wrote:I can't say that I see any spin - at least from the few images I have looked at.
Nice blowup of convection though.


did you load the loop from the link?? its pretty clear,
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tpr1967
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 185
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Jun 15, 2003 8:37 pm
Location: Palmetto,FL

Re: Interesting feature ...... ??

#6 Postby tpr1967 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 4:01 pm

I've been watching this feature since yesterday also, i see the circulation your talking about. Also with building convection today.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
PTrackerLA
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5277
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
Location: Lafayette, LA

Re: Interesting feature ...... ??

#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:10 pm

I just noticed this feature while looking at loops of 94L. Looks like there could be some circulation.
0 likes   
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: Interesting feature ...... ??

#8 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:47 pm

well i guess everyone has seen this right.. . :)

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#9 Postby KWT » Sat Jul 19, 2008 6:50 pm

It is an interesting little feature, convection does appear to be flaring up with a little circulation. This may have a chance of at least being made an invest looking at it right now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23692
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#10 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:06 pm

8:00pm TWO:

A SMALL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. THIS SYSTEM IS GENERATING A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT ENVIRONMENTAL CONDICTIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#11 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:36 pm

It might even be closer to having a closed LLC then 94L. Small but I've seen small systems like this become tropical cyclones. So it needs to be watched.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AJC3
Admin
Admin
Posts: 4002
Age: 61
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:04 pm
Location: Ballston Spa, New York
Contact:
Contact AJC3

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#12 Postby AJC3 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:48 pm

Latest QS pass just posted to the web....interesting little circulation.

Image
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#13 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Jul 19, 2008 7:50 pm

Wow this has a LLC unlike 94L. I expect a invest soon with this.

Its convection looks better then Chirstobals.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10158
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#14 Postby Blown Away » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:08 pm

Where do they expect this low to move?
0 likes   
Top
RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#15 Postby RL3AO » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:09 pm

I hope it likes dry air.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/wv-l.jpg
0 likes   
Top
americanrebel

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#16 Postby americanrebel » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:10 pm

When will this be called 97L, tonight or tomorrow?

Like the other question where will it go, will it move SE before NE or just go NE?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Blown Away
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10158
Joined: Wed May 26, 2004 6:17 am

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#17 Postby Blown Away » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:16 pm

Looks like it's spinning clockwise?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-avn.html
0 likes   
Top
Mecklenburg

Re: Possible development south of Bermuda

#18 Postby Mecklenburg » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:31 pm

NHC says that the environmental conditions will become unfavorable within the next day or so
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#19 Postby Chacor » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:39 pm

It's not got much hope in the wake of Bertha if it moves north.
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#20 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jul 19, 2008 8:47 pm

Seems to already have a circulation for sure! 97L soon probably...
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: AnnularCane, AutoPenalti, sphelps8681 and 40 guests