ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

[cycloneye]

Lets do a poll about how the ACE when all is set and done will be for the 2008 hurricane season.I have to stick with my guess of 124 that I put in the storm2k forecast numbers poll.The ACE for 2008 will be posted as updates come.

[Mecklenburg]

230... it could rival the 2004 season

[cycloneye]

Forgot to post how is the ACE so far:

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Operational 0.3675
02L (Bertha) Operational 27.6475
03L (Cristobal) Operational 0.1600
Total  28.175


[KWT]

Hmmm I think I'm trending too low on my earlier forecast ACE, thus far indicators to me of thisd season being closer to a 1995 type season with regards to numbers...so IMO we have a good chance of getting into the top 10 all time highest ACE ever, not just in the last 50 years....but we will see how things progress through August.

I wil lnow go with a much higher 190...

[cycloneye]

Come and post your guesses and see how the 2008 season ends in the ACE numbers.

[americanrebel]

some wheres around 180, I think my original guess in the seasonal forecast was much lower than this.

[cycloneye]

Update of season ACE with the latest advisorys:

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Operational 0.3675
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.0075
03L (Cristobal) Operational 0.3200
Total  28.695


[HURAKAN]

[RL3AO]

So what your saying is that Bertha is a pretty important part of the current ACE?

[HURAKAN]

So what your saying is that Bertha is a pretty important part of the current ACE?

Almost 100%

[Ptarmigan]

I would say the ACE be around 150 to 200.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

192 ACE

[cycloneye]

Update of 2008 ACE including the 5 PM advisorys of TS Cristobal and TS Dolly:

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Operational 0.3675
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 0.8425
04L (Dolly) Operational 0.1600

Total 29.7375

[Mecklenburg]

240

[HURAKAN]

By the way, the pie chart was just to show the ACE at that time, not what I would expect for the season. Just making things clear.

[Weatherfreak000]

225.

[cycloneye]

ACE Update as of July 20 at 6:30 AM EDT:

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Operational 0.3675

02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675

03L (Cristobal) Operational 1.2475

04L (Dolly) Operational 0.5650

Total 30.5475

[ConvergenceZone]

I still don't what the hell people are talking about when they say ACE I guess I need to educate myself more. at first I thought it meant how long the storm has been around for... I meant to ask this question earlier, but didn't want to sound ignorant asking it....

[RL3AO]

I still don't what the hell people are talking about when they say ACE I guess I need to educate myself more. at first I thought it meant how long the storm has been around for... I meant to ask this question earlier, but didn't want to sound ignorant asking it....

Its an index that combines the stregth of a storm and the length of a storm. ACE stands for Accumulated cyclone energy.

[cycloneye]

Here is the whole explanation about the ACE from wikipedia.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Accumulated_Cyclone_Energy