Arthur TCR

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CrazyC83
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Arthur TCR

#1 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jul 29, 2008 7:11 pm

It's now out. Some interesting notes:

* Became a tropical storm at 0000Z, more than 12 hours before it was picked up operationally
* Made landfall at 0900Z (it was already ashore when advisories began)
* 40 kt peak intensity (up 5 kt from operational)
* Admittance that they did a poor job in forecasting Arthur

The NHC is lucky that they caught this, since this could have easily been an unnamed tropical storm...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL012008_Arthur.pdf
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Chacor
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Re: Arthur TCR

#2 Postby Chacor » Tue Jul 29, 2008 7:29 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:* Admittance that they did a poor job in forecasting Arthur


I don't see where they "admit" this. They only use standard TCR language and say "The genesis of Arthur was not well-forecast."
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Thunder44
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Re: Arthur TCR

#3 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Jul 30, 2008 6:31 am

Chacor wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:* Admittance that they did a poor job in forecasting Arthur


I don't see where they "admit" this. They only use standard TCR language and say "The genesis of Arthur was not well-forecast."


They were pretty much talking about on how they messed up on the STDS that was issued just before they named Arthur.
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Chacor
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#4 Postby Chacor » Wed Jul 30, 2008 7:22 am

They don't "admit" anything. They don't explicitly say "we were horribly wrong", everything in there is standard TCR critique.
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