Central Florida threat?

[MGC]

It is now rather obvious that the small naked swirl which was thought to be the next depression earlier today has fizzled. Attention is now being shifted to the mid level circulation to the north. If anything developes out of this system, it will be that the mid level circulation works it way to the surface. I think this has a good possibility to occur as convection is numerous there and appears to be persisting. If so, the new northern formation location will place the central Florida coast as a potential landfall area. Futher down the road, a north central GOM landfall chance exists as I do not expect the Bermuda ridge to retrograde that far west............MGC

[Stormsfury]

Both scenarios support a WESTWARD track ... look at the large scale synoptic pattern for that ... Look at the Bermuda High and the high pressure back towards the Great Lakes merge and become a DOME ...

I know you don't like models or use them but when there is 100% consensus on the DOME in the next 24-48 hours, it's looking pretty much good as golden on a WEST track ...

GFS depiction 24 hrs and 48 hrs




ETA depiction 24 hrs and 48 hrs




Can we say DOME? ...