GoM possiblities

[americanrebel]

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfvs.html

The following is just my own prediction. There is no scientific backing behind this. No one is backing this, and there is no organization that would follow this.

Looking at this that little blob in the Bay of Campeche could possibly turn into a Humberto. This is pretty much what and where Humberto formed from.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Humberto formed on a frontal trough East of Florida, that mosied across Florida and the Gulf, and spun up just before reaching Texas.


Bret might be a better example, but there is no model support for anything in the Gulf this week.

Unimpressive surface convergence


It does have some upper divergence, which is helping fire storms...


There is some weak 850 mb vorticity South of the blob, but it isn't co-located.

Shear, while not awesomely mega terribly bad, is higher than what would be favorable.


It looks like a slow week, so if you have to watch a blob, it isn't the worst blob in the world. But cloud tops are starting to warm.


For excitement, although the details are bound to change, I'd be looking at the African wave and long range model threads.

Just my personal opinion.

[Steve]

lmao