Winds are due EAST, west of the deep convection ...

[Stormsfury]

As healthy as the convection is, this system remains without a defined LLC in the convection ...

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... flvis.html

Look at this visible loop ------ WINDS are DUE EAST from the Northern Bahama Islands! ------

[Rainband]

Look all the way at the bottom of the loop frame..on the floater..Is that an UUL south of the system interupting it's out flow to the south!!

[Stormsfury]

Look all the way at the bottom of the loop frame..on the floater..Is that an UUL south of the system interupting it's out flow to the south!!

Yep ... ULL south of Cuba ...

SF

[Rainband]

Look all the way at the bottom of the loop frame..on the floater..Is that an UUL south of the system interupting it's out flow to the south!!

Yep ... ULL south of Cuba ...

SF

Guess I am learning a little bit...

[capecodder]

Looks like a TD or possibly a TS
before aking landfall in SE FL.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =wv&zoom=2

[Stormsfury]

Looks like a TD or possibly a TS
before aking landfall in SE FL.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =wv&zoom=2

Problem is no LLCC underneath that deep convection --- lowest pressures remain around 24ºN, 77.5ºW ... and no west winds south of the deep convection ... BTW, the ULL to its south is losing it grip on 91L ... details shortly ...

SF

[Rainband]

Looks like a TD or possibly a TS
before aking landfall in SE FL.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... =wv&zoom=2

Problem is no LLCC underneath that deep convection --- lowest pressures remain around 24ºN, 77.5ºW ... and no west winds south of the deep convection ... BTW, the ULL to its south is losing it grip on 91L ... details shortly ...

SF

So..is a new center forming near the deep convection?? :? Futher north away from the ULL????

[Stormsfury]

Nope... the ULL is gradually losing it grip as it pulls WSW ...
What I've seen in the last few hours is a gradual shift (or movement) of the MLC inching ever so closer to the still suspected lowest pressure (LLS). The LLS may be moving north of due west, while the MLC appears to be moving/shifting south of due west... The ULH is still NE but looks like it continues to move closer to the system ... I'm still on the consolidation idea ...

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_29/anis.html

[Stephanie]

In the earlier frames, it looked as though an "eye" or center was trying to develop just east of that one island. I can see the wind stream shooting west to east just under it. It's getting harder to see now, but it does look like the lower clouds have a counter-clockwise circulation to it also.

[Lindaloo]

isn't that upper low south of cuba going to cause some shear when it passes? just wondering.

[Stormsfury]

isn't that upper low south of cuba going to cause some shear when it passes? just wondering.

It's been doing that on the LLS that was clearly evident yesterday and this morning ... expect that ULL to the south to pull away in 24-48 hours ...

SF

[Lindaloo]

okay thanks sf.