Eastern Gulf of Mexico- Moderate Convection

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Update: Moderate convection persists over the Eastern gulf as of
October 6th.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

***This post is old- 2 days old from 2 days ago***

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

Cyclonic Turning visible on the Key West Long Range
Radar. Intense Circle of Thunderstorms/Ring of Convection
just SW of Florida.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Quite breezy today as well. A building ridge is promoting
the east flow on the north side of the ring of convection,
aiding the circulation, which is labeled as a 1013 mb
low when you click on fronts.

[Rainband]

Maybe that's why my sinus has been terrible all day

[JonathanBelles]

Maybe that's why my sinus has been terrible all day

My mother and my noses are both runny today.

[Rainband]

mine is just bad congestion

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

My sinus is hurting badly too!!!

And it is windy....my windows are making the "WHOOOSSHing"
noises

Looks like a frontal low most likely, because it is along the stationary
front. These frontal lows can produce severe thunderstorms with damaging
downbursts. So watch for any thunderstorm cells that get big.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

Special Marine Warnings- KEY WEST/FORT LAUDERDALE
Strong storms with gusty wind

[jlauderdal]

Maybe that's why my sinus has been terrible all day

My mother and my noses are both runny today.

how many noses do you have?

[Sanibel]

Yeah, my leg hurt last night and today.

You could see the inflow clouds towards the Yucatan disturbance south of the island today. Wait til that gets in the Gulf and NHC reports it and everyone will suddenly get on the bandwagon.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Circulation with Very Intense Convection visible on Infared Rainbow:


Circulation and cyclonic turning is seen on radar just SW of Key West/Naples
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-rb.html
Click on FRONTS, on this rainbow loop-
a 1014 mb Low Pressure Center is located about 40 miles Southwest
of the Fort Myers/Sanibel Island Areas. Large heavy squalls extend
south over Key West and much of South Florida. Also it continues
to be windy:

My House: East 30 mph Gusts 42 mph (windows shaking hard as strong bursts
of wind hit it); Crude Visual Estimate; But the noise does not lie, it really sounds
loud hitting the windows, enough to make you jump and startle.

East Wind Sustained 25 mph Gusts 32 mph, Saint Petersburg Station
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... ?ID=MNP165


East Wind Sustained 22 mph Saint Petersburg Airport:
http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KSPG.html

Gusts are likely occuring to 30 mph.

Clearwater/Saint Pete Airport:
http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... &map.y=147
East Wind gusting to 24 mph

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

SOMETHING is trying to develop from this Florida
to Caribbean Mass of Squalls.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

This low pressure area with heavy convection is distinct from
96L; it is much closer to Florida (only about 40-50 miles offshore SW
Florida along a front that is lifting north).

Expect heavy squalls through tonight and tomorrow
across South Florida.

[boca]

I've been getting moderate rain here in Boca Raton nonstop since 4pm today. I feel like I'm living thru Fay all over again.

[JonathanBelles]

In a very slight drought here....Seems like the rest of the peninsula has had too much water.

[Jinkers]

We got lots of rain here today, I would say about 5 inches looking at my yard-lol

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

lol....maybe the rainbands around this frontal low pressure will
bust tampa bay's slight drought...maybe if the front goes north enough
it can pump moisture into the SE where they really need rain- Georgia/SC

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Intense Cyclonic Turning Near Key West Moving North! Very Heavy
Rainbands around it! This must be a mid level mesocyclone
at least!!! Something is brewing here! Look at all that heavy
convection, and Well Defined Rotation!

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Velocity Radar showing a Large Area of 50 mph winds
at the Surface Just west of Key West (Base Velocity)
http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 11&loop=no

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

This looks like a clear Baroclinic-Cyclonic storm with 50 mph winds based on my analysis
of the velocity radar

[Frank2]

Nothing much out there this morning...

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html