Area of disturbed weather in the WCAR (Now Invest 99L)

[Sanibel]

There's a curved disturbance exiting Colombia that looks like it could form. It is too far south and could go over to EPAC, but it deserves note. It will probably disappear:

[Ed Mahmoud]

There's a curved disturbance exiting Colombia that looks like it could form. It is too far south and could go over to EPAC, but it deserves note. It will probably disappear:

That is my pet Euro cyclone.

Euro doesn't move it much, but eventually hits Guatemala with it.

[Sanibel]

Can't get the GHCC close-up to load.

Maybe this will nudge N into a Mitch track.

[Sanibel]

[Blown Away]

The TAFB now shows a low in that area in 72 hours, getting suspicious and convection is persistent.

[Sanibel]

Looks like it has something but EPAC bound.

[Blown Away]

24 Hours:

48 Hours:

72 Hours:

120 Hours:

168 Hours:

[caneman]

Quite an interesting feature. Wonder if this is the area the Euro is picking up on. Lets see if it persists.

[wyq614]

Yes, I have noticed it, too. And I think this will definitely be the system that Euro is picking up on. And moreover, it may make landfall in Cuba, where I am staying now.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Is it stationary or moving?

Loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-rb.html

Where will it go? Some clouds and squalls are being sucked north
across Florida, but the Low looks like it may go inland over the
Yucatan?

[Sanibel]

11.2N-82W?

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

20N, 85W Yucatan channel has cyclonic rotation on the loop.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

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Based on IR imagery, was moving W and then turned north, shooting north.

[Sanibel]

Seeing surface rotation in 11.2N-82W area.

[Blown Away]

This area looks promising for development this morning, convection is building and there is rotation.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html

[boca]

It looks like convection is on the increase but that high pressure building down the east coast would push this system west into Central America away from effecting South Florida.That high is expecting to take up shop right over Florida and shut down any shower activity and dry out the atmosphere this week.

[Blown Away]

It looks like convection is on the increase but that high pressure building down the east coast would push this system west into Central America away from effecting South Florida.That high is expecting to take up shop right over Florida and shut down any shower activity and dry out the atmosphere this week.

The TAFB keeps a low drifting around offshore through 72 hours.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

[boca]

Thanks blown_away for that info.

[HURAKAN]

No mention in the TWD of a tropical wave in this area.

[Blown Away]

IMO, we need a "Code Yellow" for this area. If this convection persists this morning I think we will see a "Code Yellow" this afternoon.