Hurricane Carla Wind Analyses

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5316
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Hurricane Carla Wind Analyses

#1 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Dec 14, 2008 3:32 pm

Here is a wind analyses map for Hurricane Carla. According to it, the strong winds in Carla were 91 knots or 106 mph. Hurricane Carla is listed as a Category 5 hurricane at its peak and made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 150 mph.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Storm_page ... /wind.html

All are 8 degre maps.
9/10/1961 1800Z
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/1 ... tour08.png

9/10/1961 2100Z
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/1 ... tour08.png

9/11/1961 0000Z
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/hwind/1 ... tour08.png
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#2 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Dec 14, 2008 4:50 pm

Given its pressure and size, that doesn't seem all that unrealistic. It was bigger than Katrina after all.

I figured that either the pressure was much lower (like near 920) at landfall, or the winds were lower. To get to 150 kt in that region with that size, the pressure needs to be around 900mb. Personally, I think the pressure was lower in the ocean and it was around 910mb (or a bit lower).

Even still, with a landfall pressure of around 928mb (thinking there might have been some wind at the time of the 931mb recording), it still only translates to about 105-110 kt for a landfall intensity.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: Hurricane Carla Wind Analyses

#3 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Dec 14, 2008 10:23 pm

I think a wind gust of 178 mph was measured in Carla. That translates to a 1-min sustained wind of around 127 mph. So maybe 110-115KT would be a better estimate of Carla's landfall intensity.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#4 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Dec 15, 2008 3:00 pm

Carla is one I am fairly convinced was a cat 4 at landfall. I have not heard of any issues with the recorded wind gusts
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanetrack
HurricaneTrack.com
HurricaneTrack.com
Posts: 1781
Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:

#5 Postby hurricanetrack » Tue Dec 16, 2008 9:24 pm

Yikes. A large cat-4 is scary. Charley was bad enough and it was apparently a cat-4 at landfall. I did record cat-3 gusts in Charley and cannot imagine a true, solid and large cat-4. Holy Cow! Katrina was close though. I imagine that in Waveland, just looking at the tree damage there, that winds were probably close to 135 mph in gusts. Some HUGE pine trees were laid over and snapped in most of Hancock county- well within the eye wall of Katrina. This is the closest I have been to a large cat-4 at landfall. Carla was a monster. Forget that- would just assume never see that kind of hurricane. Does no one any good. They can move heat out of the tropics without getting so large and strong. Fine by me.
0 likes   

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5899
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

Re: Hurricane Carla Wind Analyses

#6 Postby MGC » Wed Dec 17, 2008 12:22 am

Yes, the winds were quite stong in eastern Hancock County. In Bay St. Louis I can bring you to a spot where every tree was snapped. Strong straight line winds, likely a downburst had to do it. The wind damage was simular to what I observed after Hugo......MGC
0 likes   

User avatar
hurricanetrack
HurricaneTrack.com
HurricaneTrack.com
Posts: 1781
Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:

#7 Postby hurricanetrack » Wed Dec 17, 2008 12:06 pm

Exactly. I saw the same kind of damage after Hugo too- it was amazing. The Francis Marion Forest was almost entirely laid to waste in areas where the strongest winds from Hugo were. That was an enormous hurricane- it put a 22 foot surge in to Bulls Bay- nearly drowning people who had taken shelter at McClellanville H.S. not knowing that it would flood badly there.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: crownweather, Hurricaneman, hurricanes1234, riapal, Stratton23, zzzh and 55 guests