Disturbance in CPAC

[senorpepr]

ACPN50 PHFO 291355
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 400 AM HST MON JUN 29 2009

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS MORE THAN 1100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII...HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WEST. WEAK SURFACE TROUGHING EXISTS IN THE VICINITY OF THE CONVECTION...SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE 80 DEGREES FAHRENHEIT...AND THERE IS LITTLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE DISTURBANCE HAS SHOWN INCREASING ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

KINEL

[Ed Mahmoud]

It is a warm ENSO season. I wonder if it'll make invest.

[cycloneye]

1000 AM HST MON JUN 29 2009

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A cluster of thunderstorms about 1100 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii, has been moving slowly west. While organization has not increased over the past several hours, a weak surface trough exists in an area where sea surface temperatures are sufficiently warm, with little vertical wind shear. Some additional development is possible over the next couple of days.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Wednesday morning.

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/hnl/cphc/

[senorpepr]

Now Invest 90C.

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