One Year Ago Today

[Ptarmigan]

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 AM AST MON SEP 01 2008

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS HALF WAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS...COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE
39.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1470 MILES...2365 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...17.6 N...39.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

NNNN

Tropical Depression 9 formed, which later became Ike. Twelve days later it makes landfall on Texas.

[Kennethb]

One year ago today, I lost electricity at 9:20 am due to Gus. Got it back 11 days later at 5:30 pm September 11.

[Ptarmigan]

One year ago today, I lost electricity at 9:20 am due to Gus. Got it back 11 days later at 5:30 pm September 11.

11 days without power. God, that's got to be really bad. 5 days was bad enough, but 11 days is much worse.

[Kennethb]

Yep. Along with a roof leak over the kitchen and dining roof and major loss of shingles which required me to do quite a bit of tarping using the fence slats from the fence that was knocked down by the pecan tree that fell. No source of weather information other than the radio and the station that could only say for days on end "we have to watch out for Ike". Many nights of little sleep hoping that Ike missed us because if we did hit, my tarps would have flown off and I would have had leaks over the entire house.

When my pecan tree fell, it ripped out my landline. However my phone somehow called 911 two or three times a day. The police showed up at all hours responding to the call. This went on for at least a week.

I ended up having to move out of the kitchen and dining room for about 2 months. I had it bad but many others here in Baton Rouge had it even worse.

[Kennethb]

In 2008, here in Louisiana, most insurance companies began a hurricace deduction for damage from named storms. Most likely initiated after claims from Katrina. The deduction is anywhere from 2-15% of the value of the house or maybe even more. I lost enough shingles during Gustav last year that I had several roof leaks over the kitchen and other spots down to the felt. I thought that I was going to have to pay the higher deduction when my wife noticed my hurricane deduction went into effect September 28, 2008. Many others did not read their policy updates and were surprised with deductions as high as the $20,000 range. In fact I was at an emergency makeshift insurance facility a few days after Gus. The man next to me was quite in disbelief to hear his deductions was $15,000. A few companies opted not to include a hurricane deduction.

[Aslkahuna]

The bit with the insurance deductions probably got their initial impetus from either Hugo in 1989 or Andrew in 1992 and took from there.

Steve

[lonelymike]

Got a metal roof after Ivan and I swear by it

[Derek Ortt]

one year ago today, the USA received a get out of jail free card from Gustav

[Ptarmigan]

one year ago today, the USA received a get out of jail free card from Gustav

Close call.

[Category 5]

one year ago today, the USA received a get out of jail free card from Gustav

Hell, as bad as Ike was, you could argue that the USA got another one with him.

[Flyinman]

I remember eating lunch at a Chinese restaurant when Ike was forming. It was like a movie as our Chinese waiter was going nuts telling us the storm was coming straight for us and that his family told him to leave, which he was doing that day..Well, needless to say a few days later I was no longer laughing at his ridiculous predicition. I was getting my generator and my hurricane supplies ready and preparing to "Hunker Down."

[srainhoutx]

One year ago at this time...

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...IKE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1110
MILES...1785 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...18.9 N...45.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/KNABB

[CrazyC83]

By now a year ago, Ike really had made a name for himself leaping to Category 4...and we knew it was trouble by then, 9 days before final landfall.

[srainhoutx]

I had a chance to spend some time in Seabrook/Kemah this weekend along with my first trip down to Galveston since Ike. I was truly moved by the progress that has been accomplished in almost One Year. The can do spirit of our 'Local Area' is amazing.

[srainhoutx]

One year ago at this hour HGX issued the first in a series of Ike Local Action Statements. The first evecaution orders went out with this statement. What is interesting is the fact that Ike was expected to make landfall further down the TX Coast at the time this statement was issued. Just goes to show how things can and often do change in a couple of days...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/projects/ik ... _1738Z.txt

[srainhoutx]

One Year Ago tonight. It still sends a chill down my spine after seeing this loop many time over the past year

[Ptarmigan]

One year ago right now. We were all preparing and battering down the hatch as Ike came crashing in.

[Brent]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 47B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
800 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...IKE'S OUTER RAINBANDS LASHING THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA COASTS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO
NORTH OF PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
PORT MANSFIELD TEXAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FROM EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM CDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 95 MILES
...155 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BEAUMONT TEXAS.

IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/HR. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT
WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
BY LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST SATURDAY
MORNING AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...
ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS.

IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM. DURING
THE PAST HOUR...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON
GALVESTON ISLAND AND A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS MEASURED AT A NOAA BUOY
JUST OFFSHORE GALVESTON ISLAND BEFORE IT STOPPED REPORTING.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET
IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN
USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE
CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST.

DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST
SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM CDT POSITION...28.4 N...94.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB.

THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

NNNN

[ROCK]

that western eye wall was intense as I spent 6 hrs in it here in Pearland. I remember backing the car against the garage door so it wouldnt blow in. Nice loop Steve...


Paul

[srainhoutx]

Our household along with family and friends that had evacuated to our location were settling in after an evening swim in the pool (next morning the pool was filled with roof debris from our neighbors homes). I was exhausted from the events that led up to tonight and slept very soundly from 7:00PM to 1:30 AM when we began to feel the real effects of Ike in NW Harris County. Thanks Paul.