not off track

[sandyb]

we are not really off track here 10 years ago now we were having Floyd come in here in NC and look we just had our "F" strom so things seem to be on track with 10 years ago except for the fact that nothing can make it to the US

[jinftl]

You are quite right...in terms of number of storms (not ACE or landfalls), this season is disturbingly close to 'average'. Per the NHC, for the period 1944-2005, by September 15, on average, the Atlantic would have seen:

6 named storms
3 hurricanes
1 major


This season, as of 9/15, has seen:

6 named storms
2 hurricanes
2 majors

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pastprofile.shtml

[artist]

that's what I find sad, is that if it doesn't hit the US it is considered a slow year, even when average in numbers.
I, just as anyone, know the thrill of the storms, but I also know the terror. And therefore find this to be sad as the terror can outway the thrill if you actually live in and are a home owner or employee, or employer in the areas that get hit.

[StormClouds63]

that's what I find sad, is that if it doesn't hit the US it is considered a slow year, even when average in numbers.
I, just as anyone, know the thrill of the storms, but I also know the terror. And therefore find this to be sad as the terror can outway the thrill if you actually live in and are a home owner or employee, or employer in the areas that get hit.

Like you said, it's just human nature. The more danger posed to the U.S., the greater interest in tracking the storms. TWC is looking for anything in the tropics to talk about. How many episodes of Storm Stories can you repeat? Their coverage of Danny and Erika was really making a mountain out of a mole hill.

I think everyone on the Gulf Coast is very grateful for this "normal" year after 2004, 2005, and 2008. Another 2-3 weeks, and we'll be able to relax for certain. I'd much rather have a "dud" season than to be on the road looking for a hotel or shelter, and not knowing if anything is left of your home.

[jinftl]

The overall perception...especially by the non-tropical tracking public....of how a season has been is based on the direct threats to: 1) where they live in particular, 2) highly publicized threats/strikes to big population centers, 3) some ridiculous season anomaly akin to the # of storms in 2005. Nothing unreasonable about those criteria.

By those standards, this is not a very interesting season to date, even if the actual # of storms is 'near average'. But if there was ever year to not want a storm to even threaten, this probably would have been the one to pick. Folks, in general, just don't have the discretionary income that is required for storm supplies, evacuation, etc.

The reasons for the 'quiet' season are well known and were well publicized in advance. The season is not over, and speaking personally, living in an area with ocean temps that will linger in the 80s until november, we should never let our guard down completely. After the last several years, and given the state of the economy and people's finances, a 'breather season' of fish and sheared storms...even if we hit the 'average' # of named storms....is more than acceptable, even to the most ardent tropical weather fanatics.

That said, I will always contend that the 6 named storms we saw in a 30-day period is nothing to sniff at. By this date in 1992....3 weeks after Andrew....he was still the only named storm of that season so far (6 more followed after 9/17/92).

[sandyb]

these remarks are fine but now what this post was ment to be saying I was just saying the we are on an average season right now not that I am dissapointed that we have not been hit, after Floyd in Sept we still had I think her name was Irene that came up the coast in middle of Oct I was just saying how so many were saying we have a slow year but I think its pretty average, thanks for yalls input,