October S. Florida Hurricane Climatology PDF from NWS Miami

[gatorcane]

October is the most active of all months for South FL, based on climatology. Most systems that impact South FL in this month originate in the Western Caribbean. I should add that during el nino years like this, however, the Western Caribbean sees less activity October typically.

snippet from this NWS Miami article:

Although overall tropical activity typically begins to quiet down in the Atlantic Basin during the month of October, south Florida is still prone to a tropical cyclone strike. In fact, since 1851 more hurricanes have struck the south Florida mainland in October than in any other month of the season.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/mfl/news ... SoFLTC.pdf

[somethingfunny]

If there were ever an example of an artificially controlled hurricane, King is a good candidate. Can't get much more perfect than a track like that, given the geography of Miami....

[fci]

Thanks Gator.
Interesting article!

[Frank2]

That's statistically true, but in a year that has been this quiet, it's pretty safe to say that this will be one of those "negative" years for October systems...

Frank

[wxman57]

One major requirement for a hurricane hit on Florida in October is for a hurricane to first be able to develop in the tropics. That seems to be a problem this year.