2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
hurricanetrack
HurricaneTrack.com
HurricaneTrack.com
Posts: 1781
Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:

2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

#1 Postby hurricanetrack » Sun Dec 27, 2009 12:39 pm

Is this right? I found it on NOAA's site just now:

http://www.weather.gov/om/hazstats/hurricane08.pdf

I thought Ike claimed more lives in TX than what is shown here.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5316
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: 2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

#2 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Dec 27, 2009 1:02 pm

One dead in 2008 season in Texas? Not possible.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145577
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Dec 27, 2009 1:33 pm

According to wikipedia,112 deaths occured on the Ike landfall in Texas.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_Atlan ... ricane_Ike
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

jinftl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4312
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:47 pm
Location: fort lauderdale, fl

Re: 2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

#4 Postby jinftl » Sun Dec 27, 2009 1:58 pm

The differences may have to do with what is considered a 'direct' fatality vs an 'indirect' fatality. That said, the data showing 1 fatality in Texas is hard to even reconcile using a direct/indirect rationale....unless drowning due to flooding was not counted ('wind' fatalities only?). That the report gives no explanation of how the figures were calculated doesn't help.
Even the wikipedia report doesn't mention deaths outside of Texas in the U.S....which did take place. I bet if we looked, we would see discrepancies like this for all storms amongst various reports and data.


NHC Report on Ike (report filed on 1/23/09):

The latest official counts and media reports indicate that 20 people died in Texas,
Louisiana, and Arkansas as a direct result of Ike. Twelve fatalities have been reported in
Galveston and Chambers Counties, Texas, where the worst storm surge occurred, and several
bodies were found within debris fields on the bay side of the Bolivar Peninsula, on Goat Island,
and on the north side of Galveston Bay in Chambers County. Some of the debris fields have yet
to be searched for remains due to lack of funds, and it is possible that the number of fatalities
from storm surge could rise. Several of the deaths were Bolivar residents who did not leave after
the first evacuation orders and were unable to leave once the rising waters cut off evacuation
routes to the mainland. Three other drowning deaths were reported across Texas—one person
drowned in the waters off Corpus Christi, one from storm surge in Orange County near
Beaumont, and one after falling off a boat on Lake Livingston in Trinity County. In addition,
one death in Montgomery County and one in Walker County resulted from trees falling onto the
roofs of occupied houses.

As many as 64 additional indirect deaths were reported in Texas due
to factors such as electrocution, carbon monoxide poisoning, and pre-existing medical
complications.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL092008_Ike.pdf
Last edited by jinftl on Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

Re: 2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

#5 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:04 pm

Yeh, there are some sort of parameters not being shown in that information above. It may be related to TC deaths but only in some narrow parameter which I don't see shown there. I don't know the official death toll for Ike but I know it was not just 1 person.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

User avatar
hurricanetrack
HurricaneTrack.com
HurricaneTrack.com
Posts: 1781
Joined: Tue Dec 02, 2003 10:46 pm
Location: Wilmington, NC
Contact:

#6 Postby hurricanetrack » Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:15 pm

They also show "only" 1016 deaths in 2005.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29113
Age: 73
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

Re:

#7 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:24 pm

hurricanetrack wrote:They also show "only" 1016 deaths in 2005.

Yeh, something is missing in that report.
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3420
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: 2008 U.S. tropical cyclone deaths (?)

#8 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Dec 27, 2009 10:35 pm

I think they said Katrina's official death toll was around 1836 or near there. They didn't bother removing indirect deaths, but they said at least 1500 were direct.

I believe the U.S. toll from Ike was 20 deaths. They didn't include the deaths from when Ike was extratropical.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#9 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 28, 2009 1:11 am

Correct. While a tropical cyclone, the winds and flooding from Ike resulted in 20 deaths. There were over 50 more that were caused by other factors not directly related to the storm's winds and water.

While extratropical, Ike killed about 30 more. Those are all being counted as indirect since they aren't in the official NHC total.

Another 90 or so were killed in the Caribbean.

As for the Katrina numbers, they were never broken out because in many cases (especially in New Orleans) the cause of death could not be determined - they weren't found dead for weeks or months afterward, and while it is presumed that the majority of them drowned in the surge, it is probable that many died of natural causes/underlying medical conditions while waiting for help because of Katrina even though they survived the storm itself and its flooding. Also, the number may be incomplete as it is quite possible some people were swept away into the Gulf of Mexico and never accounted for. The 1,016 probably assumes that a little over half the deaths from Katrina were direct (other sources have used 1,500) but those are pure guesses.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 47 guests