Poll: When Will The First Named Tropical System Form

[srainhoutx]

Good Luck Everyone!

May 15th - 31st
June 1st - 10th
June 11th - 20th
June 21st -30th
July 1st - 10th
July 11th - 20th
July 21st - 31st
August 1st - 10th
August 11th - 20th
August 21st - 31st
September 1st - 15th
September 16th - 30th
October 1st - 15th
October 16th - 31th
November
No Named Tropical Systems In The Atlantic Basin In 2010

[cycloneye]

I see the first formation between June 11th-20th.

Note=Steve,I edited the poll to make it for the members to vote on one of those different options.Will the last option get votes?

[srainhoutx]

I see the first formation between June 11th-20th.

Note=Steve,I edited the poll to make it for the members to vote on one of those different options.Will the last option get votes?

Thanks for fixing that Luis. I'm sure some folks will wish that the last option would come to pass.

[xcool22]

June 21st -30th for me

[Cookie]

1st - 10th june

[Old-TimeCane]

June 11-20th

[Plant grower]

May 15-31 for me this season will be off and cooking all the way to Nobember.

[vbhoutex]

I chose June 11th-20th, but I fear Plant Grower may be right. this season is starting to concern me more than normal.

[HurricaneBill]

That's easy. The first named system will form before the second named system!

[JtSmarts]

June 11th - 20th

[Hurricaneman]

Im thinking a pre season storm
I voted may 15 to 31st, but I think the first storm will be on the last week of April

[somethingfunny]

I thought I was being the lone voice of reason and it turns out that a majority have voted the same as I did. (July 11-20)

[jinftl]

I voted for July 21st-31st.....June and most of July will be quiet.....once the 'train' begins in earnest by mid-August, I expect a very busy mid-August through early-October period. Doesn't mean there won't be a storm or two before or after that 7 or 8 week core of the season..but the bulk of the formations will occur from August 15-October 15.

A slow start in June and even July has proven time and again to have no bearing on the remainder of the season...take 2004 as the most recent example of that..the first named storm (Alex) didn't form until July 31...or 61 days into the season...i am sure many folks on here remember the 'season cancel' posts as we moved into late July that year.

In fact, at that time, the 2004 season was the 5th latest starting season since 1952!!! By December 2004, we had 16 td, 15 named storms, 9 of which became hurricanes, and 6 of which became major hurricanes. 3000+ fatalities occurred basin wide and damage estimates, adjusted for inflation to 2010 dollars, were $57.5 billion in total.

[somethingfunny]

I would like to add a side bet that the "First named tropical system" - already wagered to be July 11-21 - will be named Bonnie, given the NHC's trend of naming subtropical systems. Alex will probably form in May.

[KWT]

Hard to call simply because there are always going to be the odd system that comes close in May and June even in slower years, esp given we are coming out of a El nino Spring and the jet should be quite strong and far south still which means the odds are there for a cold core system that changes to subtropical/tropical with time.

[southerngale]

June 21st - 30th. Just a TS.

[Jinkers]

May 15-31st,,,,a sub tropical storm

[StormClouds63]

July 20.

[Tireman4]

I am thinking August 1..but what do I know...

[brunota2003]

I think a TD will form in late May, then it will reach TS status on the first day of Hurricane Season...1 June