Just my 2 cents worth---

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bfez1
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Just my 2 cents worth---

#1 Postby bfez1 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:10 am

but I am feeling that TD9 could be the "big" one. Any thoughts or comments? Call it woman's intuition. :roll:
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#2 Postby JCT777 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:14 am

Maybe, but it will take a while to get there. It does not look too healthy at the moment.
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#3 Postby Colin » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:17 am

I agree with John...it needs to begin intensifying again before I think it'll be the "big one."
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#4 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:18 am

unhealthy indeed, but I think it still has potential. I don't know if it will be the big one but I do think it will be fair to moderate.
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#5 Postby alicia-w » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:22 am

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#6 Postby wx247 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:32 am

It all depends on the track I think. If it can get into the Gulf... maybe.
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#7 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:34 am

Still looking not real healthy. But I think it will regain its strength today.
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:42 am

Bonnie my take is that if this system takes the track thru the 12,000 feet montains of Hispanola forget about being the big one but if it avoids the big mountains maybe yes.Also it is possible that we may have another system east of the islands that with time may be a big one if it organizes convection around the low center around 16n-41w at this time.
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#9 Postby GulfBreezer » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:45 am

I think the possibiliy is there, but if you remember back in the beginning of the season when we were all "predicting" which storm would be the "big one", I think that Grace was the one most often picked! It will be real interesting to see if that pans out as well!

Chad, which one was picked the most?? I guess Tom should have that info huh? I would be interested in knowing how that voting turned out in the end since we are almost to "F" already.............
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#10 Postby GalvestonDuck » Fri Aug 22, 2003 8:56 am

Speaking of that, where did we post those predictions? I can't find it. I've searched for it with the search page, but I'm not finding it.
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#11 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:13 am

Right now it looks like it laid the big one. I think recon is giong to have a hard time closing off a center. The best chance it has right now is to reform a center to the east nearer the convection. IF (big ol' caps there) it holds together and doesn't take a a track over the great antilles (which will kill it)...it may do some notable things when it gets in the GOM. I don't think it is headed for Florida now...trof too weak and it's too weak. So...a track near Hispaniola and Cuba seems likely. If it gets to close it will be done for.
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#12 Postby GulfBreezer » Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:30 am

According to the S2K predictions in the beginning of the season, here is what I came up with.......
Erica - 4
Fabian - 3
Grace - 12
Juan - 1
Henri - 2
Mindy - 1

This is just where they were voted on as the "big one", alot of names were mentioned but Grace won, no matter how you tallied the votes! :o
HHHHMMMMM...........are we psychic??? :o :o :o :o :o
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#13 Postby mitchell » Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:51 am

cycloneye wrote:Bonnie my take is that if this system takes the track thru the 12,000 feet montains of Hispanola forget about being the big one


Agree...it seems between DR and CUBA, this system is going to spend quite a bit of time over rough terrain over the next 48 hours. Then emerge into the FLA straights....seems like the first chance to wind up would be in the GOM.
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#14 Postby ColdFront77 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 2:28 pm

52% of those that chose which storm would be "the big one" chose Grace.

Followed by 17% for Erika, 13% for Fabian, 9% for Henri and 4% for both Juan and Mindy.
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Big One?

#15 Postby zoeyann » Fri Aug 22, 2003 2:41 pm

You never know these things have had a tendency to boom in the gulf, but first enough of it has to survive to get to the gulf. I just got here and may have to "eat crow" but right now my money is on Grace or Kate for a big storm.
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