Loop - http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... asec4vis04
You need to see the loop to see the circulation. It just needs convection.
Small low pressure south of Bermuda
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HURAKAN
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Small low pressure south of Bermuda
Loop - http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... asec4vis04
You need to see the loop to see the circulation. It just needs convection.
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cycloneye
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Re: Small low pressure south of Bermuda
Is that what was left of invest 94L or is a new low?
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HURAKAN
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Re: Small low pressure south of Bermuda
cycloneye wrote:Is that what was left of invest 94L or is a new low?
the big ULL east of the Bahamas was the system interacting with 94L. This new low I don't know from where it came.
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pepeavilenho
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Re: Small low pressure south of Bermuda
HURAKAN wrote:cycloneye wrote:Is that what was left of invest 94L or is a new low?
the big ULL east of the Bahamas was the system interacting with 94L. This new low I don't know from where it came.
I think it comes from the JET
edit: Well, now I'm not sure, it might be a relation with 94-L
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It really has got just one cell with it, it is a nice small LLC but its got little chance of actually doing anything...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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djones65
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Hurakan, this is Ex-94L... After the upper level low trekked west I saw this small skeletal low pressure area track north and then northwestward not far from where 94L was located previously 19N 55W on late Sunday. I'm glad you are on this board... You pick up nearly every swirl which I like to do too... Thanks guys for all of the hard work. Reading the tropical weather discussion, the NHC is describing it as a surface trough and reports it appears to be in a dry, stable environment. It has accelerated north northwestward overnight it appears and is not as organized at the moment.
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It'd make sense that the set-up is stable given there is very little convection with this system.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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pepeavilenho
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:
Bermuda, watch out!!!! This system looks very dangerous!!! LOL
Yes, but we've to remember Grace.....
Ok, I'm just kiding....LOOOOL!!!
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I'm quite impressed by this system, what with its one storm...
Alas maybe we shouldn't mock, I know most of us mocked old TD10...and that sure as heck got its revenge on all of us when it partly helped TD12 go on to create the worst hurricane in US history...
Alas maybe we shouldn't mock, I know most of us mocked old TD10...and that sure as heck got its revenge on all of us when it partly helped TD12 go on to create the worst hurricane in US history...
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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Cryomaniac
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somethingfunny
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StormTracker
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Re:
somethingfunny wrote:The CMC actually spins this up into a storm:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation
The Canadian spins up a bunch of systems in the coming days! It must on crack again! Oh yeah, I forgot "it could happen"!!!
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Something's wrong when you regret, things that haven't happened yet!
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AJC3
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Re:
bob rulz wrote:Has the CMC ever bested the other models in forecasting the development of a storm before?
Over the past 10 or so years, there may be a case or two out there where the CMC was the first model to sniff something out, but as the old saying about the CMC goes (you've probably hear it before)...
"The CMC has successfully forecast 1,000 of the last 8 storms to form."
The CMC is like the GFS of the late 90s and early 00's in that in has so many false alarms of tropical cyclogenesis that it's utility in diagnosing TC formation is much much lower than the other main global models (ECM, GFS, UKM, NGP) out there. In this regard, I don't know any mets that take it's output seriously.
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bob rulz
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Re: Re:
AJC3 wrote:bob rulz wrote:Has the CMC ever bested the other models in forecasting the development of a storm before?
Over the past 10 or so years, there may be a case or two out there where the CMC was the first model to sniff something out, but as the old saying about the CMC goes (you've probably hear it before)...
"The CMC has successfully forecast 1,000 of the last 8 storms to form."
Yes, I've heard it before.The CMC is like the GFS of the late 90s and early 00's in that in has so many false alarms of tropical cyclogenesis that it's utility in diagnosing TC formation is much much lower than the other main global models (ECM, GFS, UKM, NGP) out there. In this regard, I don't know any mets that take it's output seriously.
I've heard it's pretty decent at track forecasts once a storm has already formed though.
The Euro seems to be the one everybody has been loving lately.
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