Tropical Depression #9: Is this a GOMer or a GONER?

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Where do YOU think TD9 is headed?

This one is a GOMer
14
61%
Gonna head-slam Florida
4
17%
Fizzle out over the DR/Haiti
5
22%
Slam into the Mid Atlantic
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 23

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Anonymous

Tropical Depression #9: Is this a GOMer or a GONER?

#1 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:35 am




Check out this 5-Day track extrapolation, then let's debate this.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 1508W5.gif

Is this tropical system gonna be a GOMer, or will it break up over the Dominican Republic/Haiti, or will it go up the East Coast and slam into the Mid Atlantic?



-Jeb

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Anonymous

Re: Tropical Depression #9: Is this a GOMer or a GONER?

#2 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:37 am

Jeb wrote:


Check out this 5-Day track extrapolation, then let's debate this.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 1508W5.gif

Is this tropical system gonna be a GOMer, or will it break up over the Dominican Republic/Haiti, or will it go up the East Coast and slam into the Mid Atlantic?



-Jeb








You know, I have no idea! Lol

I didn't even vote. I think it might hit FL but it needs to be watched.


-Jeb

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#3 Postby Guest » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:38 am

GOM'er!!!! That's my vote.
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#4 Postby bfez1 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:40 am

I second that vote, ticka!
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#5 Postby Air Force Met » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:44 am

Me too. DR/Haiti is going to knock it down but it will come back and go to GOM.
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#6 Postby alicia-w » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:48 am

http://www.wrel.com/modelmap.htm

My vote is a combo of GOM and Florida, because I'm thinking NW Florida, not the Peninsula.
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#7 Postby Colin » Fri Aug 22, 2003 10:53 am

I think it will fizzle out over the DR/Haiti, and barely have enough energy to reorganize over the GOM...
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GOMer

#8 Postby zoeyann » Fri Aug 22, 2003 11:18 am

Personally I think it will get torn apart over land areas because it really does not look all that powerful, and then what is left will drift into the GOM bringing rain to the coastal areas.
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#9 Postby Johnny » Fri Aug 22, 2003 11:20 am

Florida then a GOMER.
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#10 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Aug 22, 2003 11:30 am

The CROW KING votes GOMER! Most of the models are starting a slow trend back to the WNW. I expect the then CAT1, maybe 2 Hurricane Fabian to brush the S tip of Fl. or actually "miss" the mainland peninsula and go through the N. Keys and on into the GOM. After that the track depends on any steering currents setting up, which there is a real question about at this point. Please notice the crow award below just in case! :lol:
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#11 Postby JetMaxx » Fri Aug 22, 2003 11:57 am

I expect TD 9 to cross Haiti, remaining intact...and deepen to a major hurricane (115 mph) before impacting extreme southern Florida...or more likely IMO, cross the Florida Keys -- then continue WNW into the GOM, and become a very dangerous hurricane (130+ mph) that will be a serious threat to some portion of the Gulf Coast....IMO most likely east of New Orleans.
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Anonymous

First it has to Jet over those DR/Haitian Mountains

#12 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:07 pm

IF it gets through those MOUNTAINS.........and it's ONLY a TD.


-Jeb
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Anonymous

But it'll be nice to have something to discuss in the GOM...

#13 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:15 pm

I'd like to see a Tropical Storm, maybe a quick weak Cat 1 hit some largely unpopulated stretch of the GOM Coast, killing NO ONE and only causing minimal damage with fast movement over land so as to NOT have an Allison event. Fast, short and sweet. A little wind and splash 'n dash showers. Something exciting but mostly harmless. :)

-Jeb
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#14 Postby southerngale » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:16 pm

I think it will weaken some over the Dominican Republic (after a little strengthening) and hit Florida on its way into the GOM.

How does that sound? :D
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#15 Postby bfez1 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:19 pm

Sounds good to me, Kelly! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#16 Postby JCT777 » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:25 pm

I think it will affect Florida, probably as a TS. Not sure what will happen after that.
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Anonymous

Sounds good

#17 Postby Anonymous » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:55 pm

southerngale wrote:I think it will weaken some over the Dominican Republic (after a little strengthening) and hit Florida on its way into the GOM.

How does that sound? :D


That sounds great, but after it hits the GOM, then what? I don't want someone in the GOM to get clobbered by a Cat 3 right where they live.


-Jeb
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