here are the names
Arlene
Bret
Cindy
Don
Emily
Franklin
Gert
Harvey
Irene
Jose
Katia
Lee
Maria
Nate
Ophelia
Philippe
Rina
Sean
Tammy
Vince
Whitney
Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
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Hurricaneman
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
Arlene: landfalls as a strengthening tropical storm at 50mph Near Destin, Fl on July 15th
Bret: 65mph tropical storm Forms near bermuda from a frontal low that becomes tropical July 21
Cindy: Forms near the Bahamas and heads due north and makes landfall on the North Carolina, South Carolina border as a strengthening 85mph hurricane August 10th
DON: First major of the year forming 150 miles south of the Cape Verdes becomes a powerful cat 3 130 mph hurricane as it goes just north of the Islands hits some shear as it nears the Bahamas and weakens to 90mph as it turns north and misses North carolina by 150 miles as a 100 mph hurricane continues north to a central long island landfall as a 65mph tropical storm August 24th
Emily: Forms just east of Barbados and continues WNW toward the Yucatan Straights at a peak intensity of 90mph heads north to Boloxi and landfalls as a 80mph hurricane August 26th
Franklin: Forms off the coast of africa and goes north at 45w as a 60mph tropical storm September 1
GERT: Forms off the east coast and rapidly intensifies to a cat 4 150 mph hurricane 300 miles sse of the Carolina coastline and heads North and makes landfall in the outer banks as a 140 mph hurricane heads NNE to make a second landfall at montauk pt as a 115 mph hurricane September 10th
Harvey: Forms near Florida and shoots NNE to make landfall In Nova Scotia at its peak intensity of 50MPH September 20th
Irene: Forms in the BOC and heads NNW towards Brownsville as a 65mph tropical storm September 21st
Jose: Forms from an Extra tropical system that takes 3 days to become tropical and strengthens to a hurricane and makes landfall in Normandy France as a 50mph tropical storm October 12th
KATIA: Forms near the coast of Belize and rapidly intensifies to a peak intensity of 165mph as it heads towards the yucatan channel and heads northeast asnd makes landfall in Naples Fl as a 100mph hurricane November 1st
Lee: forms from an extratropical low that transitions to a tropical low near Florida and makes landfall in Bermuda as a 40mph tropical storm November 20th
Maria: Forms near panama and promptly makes landfall as a 40mph tropical storm November 30th
Bret: 65mph tropical storm Forms near bermuda from a frontal low that becomes tropical July 21
Cindy: Forms near the Bahamas and heads due north and makes landfall on the North Carolina, South Carolina border as a strengthening 85mph hurricane August 10th
DON: First major of the year forming 150 miles south of the Cape Verdes becomes a powerful cat 3 130 mph hurricane as it goes just north of the Islands hits some shear as it nears the Bahamas and weakens to 90mph as it turns north and misses North carolina by 150 miles as a 100 mph hurricane continues north to a central long island landfall as a 65mph tropical storm August 24th
Emily: Forms just east of Barbados and continues WNW toward the Yucatan Straights at a peak intensity of 90mph heads north to Boloxi and landfalls as a 80mph hurricane August 26th
Franklin: Forms off the coast of africa and goes north at 45w as a 60mph tropical storm September 1
GERT: Forms off the east coast and rapidly intensifies to a cat 4 150 mph hurricane 300 miles sse of the Carolina coastline and heads North and makes landfall in the outer banks as a 140 mph hurricane heads NNE to make a second landfall at montauk pt as a 115 mph hurricane September 10th
Harvey: Forms near Florida and shoots NNE to make landfall In Nova Scotia at its peak intensity of 50MPH September 20th
Irene: Forms in the BOC and heads NNW towards Brownsville as a 65mph tropical storm September 21st
Jose: Forms from an Extra tropical system that takes 3 days to become tropical and strengthens to a hurricane and makes landfall in Normandy France as a 50mph tropical storm October 12th
KATIA: Forms near the coast of Belize and rapidly intensifies to a peak intensity of 165mph as it heads towards the yucatan channel and heads northeast asnd makes landfall in Naples Fl as a 100mph hurricane November 1st
Lee: forms from an extratropical low that transitions to a tropical low near Florida and makes landfall in Bermuda as a 40mph tropical storm November 20th
Maria: Forms near panama and promptly makes landfall as a 40mph tropical storm November 30th
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somethingfunny
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Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
Emily, just get it the heck out of here.
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I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
somethingfunny wrote:Emily, just get it the heck out of here.
I know, should have been retired in 2005
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neospaceblue
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Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
Hurricane Arlene
June 5 - June 10
70 kts / 984 mbar
Forms in the Bahamas, comes close to Cape Hatteras, but remains offshore (similar to Alex of 2004).
Tropical Storm Bret
June 21 - June 25
55 kts / 1001 mbar
Forms in the Yucatan Channel, clips Cuba, strikes South Florida and heads out to sea.
Hurricane Cindy
July 12 - July 20
90 kts / 966 mbar
Forms in the Southern Caribbean Sea (ex. Martha of 1969), meanders and heads toward Honduras and the Yucatan Peninsula.
Tropical Storm Don
July 31 - August 4
60 kts / 998 mbar
Forms off the Carolinas, heads north bringing impacts to Outer Banks, Delmarva Peninsula and Cape Cod.
Hurricane Emily
August 10 – August 18
125 kts / 945 mbar
Takes a path similar to Erika of 2003, but slower. Rapidly intensifies to a Category 4 in the 24 hours prior to making landfall in Northern Mexico. Due to the storm's small size and landfall in a sparsely populated area, it does not cause much damage, and remains on the list again for 2017.
Hurricane Franklin
August 14 – August 27
140 kts / 919 mbar
Forms in the Southern Caribbean near Trinidad and Tobago, clips Haiti at Category 2 intensity, strikes Cayman Islands as a Category 4. Reaches Category 5 as it enters the Gulf. Eventually makes landfall as a 115-120 mph hurricane in the Matagorda Bay area.
Hurricane Gert
August 21 – August 29
90 kts / 970 mbar
Forms north of Hispanola, and heads out to sea.
Hurricane Harvey
August 31 – September 10
130 kts / 928 mbar
First Cape Verde storm. Remains a weak storm through most of the Atlantic (analog: Andrew of 1992), begins to intensify near the Bahamas reaching a primary peak of 135-mph. Hurricane weakens due to an eyewall replacement cycle before re-intensifying to a 150-mph hurricane just before striking Georgia. It is the first major hurricane since 1898 to strike the state and the strongest one on record.
Tropical Storm Irene
September 2 – September 6
55 kts / 989 mbar
Develops off the Florida Panhandle and parallels much of the northern Gulf Coast before making landfall near Galveston.
Hurricane Jose
September 13 – September 23
140 kts / 921 mbar
Cape Verde Storm. Not notable aside from the fact that it was the first Category 5 fishspinner during the satellite era.
Hurricane Katia
September 25 – October 4
85 kts / 974 mbar
Develops in the Southern Caribbean Sea. Heads northwest and strikes the Yucatan at peak intensity. Emerges into Gulf, and heads north toward the Louisiana coast.
Tropical Storm Lee
October 6 – October 9
45 kts / 1002 mbar
Hurricane Maria
October 12 – October 21
110 kts / 939 mbar
Forms in the Southeast Caribbean. Slowly moves through the Lesser Antilles, before heading out to sea.
Tropical Storm Nate
October 22 – October 24
35 kts / 1004 mbar
Subtropical Storm Ophelia
November 21 – November 23
60 kts / 975 mbar
June 5 - June 10
70 kts / 984 mbar
Forms in the Bahamas, comes close to Cape Hatteras, but remains offshore (similar to Alex of 2004).
Tropical Storm Bret
June 21 - June 25
55 kts / 1001 mbar
Forms in the Yucatan Channel, clips Cuba, strikes South Florida and heads out to sea.
Hurricane Cindy
July 12 - July 20
90 kts / 966 mbar
Forms in the Southern Caribbean Sea (ex. Martha of 1969), meanders and heads toward Honduras and the Yucatan Peninsula.
Tropical Storm Don
July 31 - August 4
60 kts / 998 mbar
Forms off the Carolinas, heads north bringing impacts to Outer Banks, Delmarva Peninsula and Cape Cod.
Hurricane Emily
August 10 – August 18
125 kts / 945 mbar
Takes a path similar to Erika of 2003, but slower. Rapidly intensifies to a Category 4 in the 24 hours prior to making landfall in Northern Mexico. Due to the storm's small size and landfall in a sparsely populated area, it does not cause much damage, and remains on the list again for 2017.
Hurricane Franklin
August 14 – August 27
140 kts / 919 mbar
Forms in the Southern Caribbean near Trinidad and Tobago, clips Haiti at Category 2 intensity, strikes Cayman Islands as a Category 4. Reaches Category 5 as it enters the Gulf. Eventually makes landfall as a 115-120 mph hurricane in the Matagorda Bay area.
Hurricane Gert
August 21 – August 29
90 kts / 970 mbar
Forms north of Hispanola, and heads out to sea.
Hurricane Harvey
August 31 – September 10
130 kts / 928 mbar
First Cape Verde storm. Remains a weak storm through most of the Atlantic (analog: Andrew of 1992), begins to intensify near the Bahamas reaching a primary peak of 135-mph. Hurricane weakens due to an eyewall replacement cycle before re-intensifying to a 150-mph hurricane just before striking Georgia. It is the first major hurricane since 1898 to strike the state and the strongest one on record.
Tropical Storm Irene
September 2 – September 6
55 kts / 989 mbar
Develops off the Florida Panhandle and parallels much of the northern Gulf Coast before making landfall near Galveston.
Hurricane Jose
September 13 – September 23
140 kts / 921 mbar
Cape Verde Storm. Not notable aside from the fact that it was the first Category 5 fishspinner during the satellite era.
Hurricane Katia
September 25 – October 4
85 kts / 974 mbar
Develops in the Southern Caribbean Sea. Heads northwest and strikes the Yucatan at peak intensity. Emerges into Gulf, and heads north toward the Louisiana coast.
Tropical Storm Lee
October 6 – October 9
45 kts / 1002 mbar
Hurricane Maria
October 12 – October 21
110 kts / 939 mbar
Forms in the Southeast Caribbean. Slowly moves through the Lesser Antilles, before heading out to sea.
Tropical Storm Nate
October 22 – October 24
35 kts / 1004 mbar
Subtropical Storm Ophelia
November 21 – November 23
60 kts / 975 mbar
Last edited by neospaceblue on Sat Dec 11, 2010 9:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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frigidice77
Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
I think Klaus was retired because it produced severe damages in some of the Lesser Antilles, even if the death toll was not high the damages may have been severe especially for those small islands.
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HurricaneRyan
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Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
Emily, in my opinion, wasn't retired in 2005 because the damage wasn't as high as the other storms in the season. Back then, the damage was like 300 million, and I was like "Emily ain't getting retired". This is coming from a guy who was ELEVEN years old at that time, and I KNEW Emily wasn't getting retired.
I think Irene will be a storm to watch out for, the I storm seems to always have power up their sleeves (Iris, Isidore, Isabel, Ivan, Ike, and Igor prove this).
Emily however, could once again have an impact and this time, her name might not be so lucky.
I think Irene will be a storm to watch out for, the I storm seems to always have power up their sleeves (Iris, Isidore, Isabel, Ivan, Ike, and Igor prove this).
Emily however, could once again have an impact and this time, her name might not be so lucky.
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Kay '22 Hilary '23
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CrazyC83
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- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
My guess:
Major Hurricane Arlene
June 16 to June 20 - 100 kt/957mb
First June major hurricane in decades forms over the NW Caribbean and moves northward. Rapidly intensifies over the Loop Current catching the NE Gulf Coast off guard not expecting a June hurricane. Hits the Florida Panhandle as a Category 2 storm with 85 kt winds, the first landfalling US hurricane since Ike.
Tropical Storm Bret
July 3 to July 5 - 45 kt/1009mb
Forms in the deep tropical Caribbean, however is hindered by dry air and dissipates.
Tropical Storm Cindy
July 18 to July 20 - 60 kt/997mb
Quite similar to 2005's Cindy but remains a tropical storm. Quickly ramps up after forming in the central Gulf, nearly becoming a hurricane before making landfall in central Louisiana.
Hurricane Don
August 14 to August 23 - 80 kt/977mb
Early season Cape Verde storm struggles as it remains in the open Atlantic. As it moves northeast of Bermuda, it strengthens to a hurricane before becoming extratropical.
Major Hurricane Emily
August 17 to August 27 - 170 kt/914mb
No the winds are not a misprint! Forms in the Cape Verde region, struggles as it tracks westward due to dry air before conditions become more favorable. Strengthens as it approaches the islands to a Category 1, then BOOM! South of Hispaniola, it explodes into an extremely intense storm with record winds confirmed by Recon. It remains a small storm though in size hence the pressure mismatch. Obliterates much of Jamaica and the Caymans at its extreme intensity (the eyewall goes over both as an extreme Category 5) before hitting the Yucatan as a Category 4. It weakens some then restrengthens over the Bay of Campeche, hitting NE Mexico as a Category 3 and delivering hurricane conditions to South Texas.
Tropical Storm Franklin
August 26 to August 28 - 50 kt/993mb
Forms off a stalled front off the Carolina coast. It moved northward and inland over eastern North Carolina as a tropical storm. Not much harm done.
Hurricane Gert
September 8 to September 13 - 90 kt/977mb
Develops over the central Caribbean. Follows a similar path as Emily but farther north. This time the ridge carrying Emily westward breaks down and it goes northward towards the northern Gulf coast. Strengthens to a Category 2 but weakens to a strong tropical storm before landfall near Mobile Bay.
Tropical Storm Harvey
September 11 to September 14 - 45 kt/998mb
Forms off another front off the Carolina coast. This time, it simply heads northeast as a weak tropical storm, eventually becoming extratropical.
Major Hurricane Irene
September 12 to October 1 - 130 kt/926mb
Long-lived storm started over Cape Verde and rides low similar to Ivan. Hits the Windwards as a Category 1 before turning abruptly northward. Rapidly intensifies in the Gulf to a strong Category 4 as it erratically moves northeast, then north, making landfall on the Florida Panhandle as a Category 3 storm - the first major hurricane landfall in the US in nearly 6 years. It survives a long track across Georgia and the Carolinas and re-intensifies into a hurricane again over the Gulf Stream, eventually becoming extratropical.
Tropical Storm Jose
September 22 to September 24 - 55 kt/994mb
Short-lived storm develops in the northern Atlantic. Initially a vigorous subtropical storm, it transitions into a tropical storm before becoming extratropical west of the Azores.
Major Hurricane Katia
October 3 to October 8 - 125 kt/935mb
Another quick-blossoming storm forms southeast of the Bahamas. It rapidly intensifies over the Bahamas as it takes aim for southeast Florida. Continuing to rapidly intensify, it makes landfall over south Miami-Dade County at peak intensity, with the eastern eyewall going right over downtown Miami and Fort Lauderdale. Truly a worst-case scenario. It remains a hurricane up into Tampa Bay, then makes another landfall on the Panhandle as a Category 1 storm before weakening inland.
Major Hurricane Lee
October 14 to October 20 - 120 kt/953mb
Another major hurricane for the 2011 season forms in the central Caribbean, quickly turning northward. It rapidly intensifies as it approaches Puerto Rico, becoming a Category 4 at landfall and delivering severe damage. Rapid weakening follows and it is barely a hurricane just 18 hours later. It never gets its act together again and falls apart in the central Atlantic.
Major Hurricane Maria
October 29 to November 9 - 140 kt/916mb
Develops over the southwest Caribbean like many late-season storms and turns north. It crawls while drenching Central America as it steadily intensifies. A rapid intensification period occurs near the Cayman Islands and it strengthens into the first (official) Category 5 ever in November. It weakens slightly before making landfall in western Cuba as a Category 4. Continued weakening occurs as it moves into southeast Florida - already devastated by Katia - as a Category 1 storm, then becoming extratropical soon after.
Tropical Storm Nate
November 6 to November 7 - 45 kt/1004mb
Quick-forming late season storm develops off the coast of Nicaragua. Quickly moves inland as a tropical storm and dissipates but not before causing more chaos after Maria's devastating floods.
Hurricane Ophelia
November 23 to November 28 - 65 kt/973mb
Classic end-of-season storm forms in the central Atlantic from an extratropical storm that transitions to tropical. Becomes extremely large but remains far from land before it eventually becomes extratropical once again.
Major Hurricane Arlene
June 16 to June 20 - 100 kt/957mb
First June major hurricane in decades forms over the NW Caribbean and moves northward. Rapidly intensifies over the Loop Current catching the NE Gulf Coast off guard not expecting a June hurricane. Hits the Florida Panhandle as a Category 2 storm with 85 kt winds, the first landfalling US hurricane since Ike.
Tropical Storm Bret
July 3 to July 5 - 45 kt/1009mb
Forms in the deep tropical Caribbean, however is hindered by dry air and dissipates.
Tropical Storm Cindy
July 18 to July 20 - 60 kt/997mb
Quite similar to 2005's Cindy but remains a tropical storm. Quickly ramps up after forming in the central Gulf, nearly becoming a hurricane before making landfall in central Louisiana.
Hurricane Don
August 14 to August 23 - 80 kt/977mb
Early season Cape Verde storm struggles as it remains in the open Atlantic. As it moves northeast of Bermuda, it strengthens to a hurricane before becoming extratropical.
Major Hurricane Emily
August 17 to August 27 - 170 kt/914mb
No the winds are not a misprint! Forms in the Cape Verde region, struggles as it tracks westward due to dry air before conditions become more favorable. Strengthens as it approaches the islands to a Category 1, then BOOM! South of Hispaniola, it explodes into an extremely intense storm with record winds confirmed by Recon. It remains a small storm though in size hence the pressure mismatch. Obliterates much of Jamaica and the Caymans at its extreme intensity (the eyewall goes over both as an extreme Category 5) before hitting the Yucatan as a Category 4. It weakens some then restrengthens over the Bay of Campeche, hitting NE Mexico as a Category 3 and delivering hurricane conditions to South Texas.
Tropical Storm Franklin
August 26 to August 28 - 50 kt/993mb
Forms off a stalled front off the Carolina coast. It moved northward and inland over eastern North Carolina as a tropical storm. Not much harm done.
Hurricane Gert
September 8 to September 13 - 90 kt/977mb
Develops over the central Caribbean. Follows a similar path as Emily but farther north. This time the ridge carrying Emily westward breaks down and it goes northward towards the northern Gulf coast. Strengthens to a Category 2 but weakens to a strong tropical storm before landfall near Mobile Bay.
Tropical Storm Harvey
September 11 to September 14 - 45 kt/998mb
Forms off another front off the Carolina coast. This time, it simply heads northeast as a weak tropical storm, eventually becoming extratropical.
Major Hurricane Irene
September 12 to October 1 - 130 kt/926mb
Long-lived storm started over Cape Verde and rides low similar to Ivan. Hits the Windwards as a Category 1 before turning abruptly northward. Rapidly intensifies in the Gulf to a strong Category 4 as it erratically moves northeast, then north, making landfall on the Florida Panhandle as a Category 3 storm - the first major hurricane landfall in the US in nearly 6 years. It survives a long track across Georgia and the Carolinas and re-intensifies into a hurricane again over the Gulf Stream, eventually becoming extratropical.
Tropical Storm Jose
September 22 to September 24 - 55 kt/994mb
Short-lived storm develops in the northern Atlantic. Initially a vigorous subtropical storm, it transitions into a tropical storm before becoming extratropical west of the Azores.
Major Hurricane Katia
October 3 to October 8 - 125 kt/935mb
Another quick-blossoming storm forms southeast of the Bahamas. It rapidly intensifies over the Bahamas as it takes aim for southeast Florida. Continuing to rapidly intensify, it makes landfall over south Miami-Dade County at peak intensity, with the eastern eyewall going right over downtown Miami and Fort Lauderdale. Truly a worst-case scenario. It remains a hurricane up into Tampa Bay, then makes another landfall on the Panhandle as a Category 1 storm before weakening inland.
Major Hurricane Lee
October 14 to October 20 - 120 kt/953mb
Another major hurricane for the 2011 season forms in the central Caribbean, quickly turning northward. It rapidly intensifies as it approaches Puerto Rico, becoming a Category 4 at landfall and delivering severe damage. Rapid weakening follows and it is barely a hurricane just 18 hours later. It never gets its act together again and falls apart in the central Atlantic.
Major Hurricane Maria
October 29 to November 9 - 140 kt/916mb
Develops over the southwest Caribbean like many late-season storms and turns north. It crawls while drenching Central America as it steadily intensifies. A rapid intensification period occurs near the Cayman Islands and it strengthens into the first (official) Category 5 ever in November. It weakens slightly before making landfall in western Cuba as a Category 4. Continued weakening occurs as it moves into southeast Florida - already devastated by Katia - as a Category 1 storm, then becoming extratropical soon after.
Tropical Storm Nate
November 6 to November 7 - 45 kt/1004mb
Quick-forming late season storm develops off the coast of Nicaragua. Quickly moves inland as a tropical storm and dissipates but not before causing more chaos after Maria's devastating floods.
Hurricane Ophelia
November 23 to November 28 - 65 kt/973mb
Classic end-of-season storm forms in the central Atlantic from an extratropical storm that transitions to tropical. Becomes extremely large but remains far from land before it eventually becomes extratropical once again.
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frigidice77
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CrazyC83
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- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re:
frigidice77 wrote:Wow a dangerous season in your thoughts. Major hurricane emily would be stronger than wilma lol. It probably wont get retired since emily05 didnt.
Wind-wise yes, pressure-wise no. My Emily prediction has it as a really small, tight Felix-like storm.
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frigidice77
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HurricaneRyan
- Category 3
- Posts: 813
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- Joined: Sun Dec 05, 2010 3:05 pm
Re: Which storms will be the big ones in 2011
CrazyC83 wrote:My guess:
Major Hurricane Arlene
June 16 to June 20 - 100 kt/957mb
First June major hurricane in decades forms over the NW Caribbean and moves northward. Rapidly intensifies over the Loop Current catching the NE Gulf Coast off guard not expecting a June hurricane. Hits the Florida Panhandle as a Category 2 storm with 85 kt winds, the first landfalling US hurricane since Ike.
Tropical Storm Bret
July 3 to July 5 - 45 kt/1009mb
Forms in the deep tropical Caribbean, however is hindered by dry air and dissipates.
Tropical Storm Cindy
July 18 to July 20 - 60 kt/997mb
Quite similar to 2005's Cindy but remains a tropical storm. Quickly ramps up after forming in the central Gulf, nearly becoming a hurricane before making landfall in central Louisiana.
Hurricane Don
August 14 to August 23 - 80 kt/977mb
Early season Cape Verde storm struggles as it remains in the open Atlantic. As it moves northeast of Bermuda, it strengthens to a hurricane before becoming extratropical.
Major Hurricane Emily
August 17 to August 27 - 170 kt/914mb
No the winds are not a misprint! Forms in the Cape Verde region, struggles as it tracks westward due to dry air before conditions become more favorable. Strengthens as it approaches the islands to a Category 1, then BOOM! South of Hispaniola, it explodes into an extremely intense storm with record winds confirmed by Recon. It remains a small storm though in size hence the pressure mismatch. Obliterates much of Jamaica and the Caymans at its extreme intensity (the eyewall goes over both as an extreme Category 5) before hitting the Yucatan as a Category 4. It weakens some then restrengthens over the Bay of Campeche, hitting NE Mexico as a Category 3 and delivering hurricane conditions to South Texas.
Tropical Storm Franklin
August 26 to August 28 - 50 kt/993mb
Forms off a stalled front off the Carolina coast. It moved northward and inland over eastern North Carolina as a tropical storm. Not much harm done.
Hurricane Gert
September 8 to September 13 - 90 kt/977mb
Develops over the central Caribbean. Follows a similar path as Emily but farther north. This time the ridge carrying Emily westward breaks down and it goes northward towards the northern Gulf coast. Strengthens to a Category 2 but weakens to a strong tropical storm before landfall near Mobile Bay.
Tropical Storm Harvey
September 11 to September 14 - 45 kt/998mb
Forms off another front off the Carolina coast. This time, it simply heads northeast as a weak tropical storm, eventually becoming extratropical.
Major Hurricane Irene
September 12 to October 1 - 130 kt/926mb
Long-lived storm started over Cape Verde and rides low similar to Ivan. Hits the Windwards as a Category 1 before turning abruptly northward. Rapidly intensifies in the Gulf to a strong Category 4 as it erratically moves northeast, then north, making landfall on the Florida Panhandle as a Category 3 storm - the first major hurricane landfall in the US in nearly 6 years. It survives a long track across Georgia and the Carolinas and re-intensifies into a hurricane again over the Gulf Stream, eventually becoming extratropical.
Tropical Storm Jose
September 22 to September 24 - 55 kt/994mb
Short-lived storm develops in the northern Atlantic. Initially a vigorous subtropical storm, it transitions into a tropical storm before becoming extratropical west of the Azores.
Major Hurricane Katia
October 3 to October 8 - 125 kt/935mb
Another quick-blossoming storm forms southeast of the Bahamas. It rapidly intensifies over the Bahamas as it takes aim for southeast Florida. Continuing to rapidly intensify, it makes landfall over south Miami-Dade County at peak intensity, with the eastern eyewall going right over downtown Miami and Fort Lauderdale. Truly a worst-case scenario. It remains a hurricane up into Tampa Bay, then makes another landfall on the Panhandle as a Category 1 storm before weakening inland.
Major Hurricane Lee
October 14 to October 20 - 120 kt/953mb
Another major hurricane for the 2011 season forms in the central Caribbean, quickly turning northward. It rapidly intensifies as it approaches Puerto Rico, becoming a Category 4 at landfall and delivering severe damage. Rapid weakening follows and it is barely a hurricane just 18 hours later. It never gets its act together again and falls apart in the central Atlantic.
Major Hurricane Maria
October 29 to November 9 - 140 kt/916mb
Develops over the southwest Caribbean like many late-season storms and turns north. It crawls while drenching Central America as it steadily intensifies. A rapid intensification period occurs near the Cayman Islands and it strengthens into the first (official) Category 5 ever in November. It weakens slightly before making landfall in western Cuba as a Category 4. Continued weakening occurs as it moves into southeast Florida - already devastated by Katia - as a Category 1 storm, then becoming extratropical soon after.
Tropical Storm Nate
November 6 to November 7 - 45 kt/1004mb
Quick-forming late season storm develops off the coast of Nicaragua. Quickly moves inland as a tropical storm and dissipates but not before causing more chaos after Maria's devastating floods.
Hurricane Ophelia
November 23 to November 28 - 65 kt/973mb
Classic end-of-season storm forms in the central Atlantic from an extratropical storm that transitions to tropical. Becomes extremely large but remains far from land before it eventually becomes extratropical once again.
So basically Emily, Irene, Katia, Lee, and maria all get retired in your thoughts.
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Kay '22 Hilary '23
Re:
frigidice77 wrote:Im scared of 2011. Will probably catch everyone offguard imo.
That's what they said about 2010 to. But, I can see where the media hyped up 2010 so much and then nothing happened (to the US of course, not elsewhere) that everyone just shakes it off and ignores it. I think most of these predictions are way to aggressive for right now though.
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Florida1118
Re: Re:
Migle wrote:frigidice77 wrote:Im scared of 2011. Will probably catch everyone offguard imo.
That's what they said about 2010 to. But, I can see where the media hyped up 2010 so much and then nothing happened (to the US of course, not elsewhere) that everyone just shakes it off and ignores it. I think most of these predictions are way to aggressive for right now though.
That's what everyone said last year....
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frigidice77
Re: Re:
Florida1118 wrote:Migle wrote:frigidice77 wrote:Im scared of 2011. Will probably catch everyone offguard imo.
That's what they said about 2010 to. But, I can see where the media hyped up 2010 so much and then nothing happened (to the US of course, not elsewhere) that everyone just shakes it off and ignores it. I think most of these predictions are way to aggressive for right now though.
That's what everyone said last year....
This year is completely different than last year.
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StormClouds63
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