SAL (Saharan Air Layer) is being dominant

[One Eye]

I know its still early but the SAL (Saharan Air Layer) is being mighty stubborn and looking dominant across the whole Atlantic. This is attributing to the waves coming off Africa and "poofing" out. The African drought could cause even more SAL thus decreasing the mighty Cape Verde storms. All these preseason storm total predictions by all the prognosticators ( NOAA, Prof. Gray, etc) could be in danger if the current conditions do not change.

[lonelymike]

It'll decrease. It always does

['CaneFreak]

I know its still early but the SAL (Saharan Air Layer) is being mighty stubborn and looking dominant across the whole Atlantic. This is attributing to the waves coming off Africa and "poofing" out. The African drought could cause even more SAL thus decreasing the mighty Cape Verde storms. All these preseason storm total predictions by all the prognosticators ( NOAA, Prof. Gray, etc) could be in danger if the current conditions do not change.

The SAL is actually not that bad and even the dry air in the central Atlantic is getting ready to be crushed as the persistent ridge that has been in place over the NE Atlantic begins to move west as indicated by all guidance. It is that time of year again I see...when newbies begin to worry when there is nothing to worry about

[One Eye]

Still taking a toll on invest and potential storm. However the dry air seems to be eroding with time. I still think we will have an above average year but not near like 2004 or 2005. Jus' aint happening!!!!!!

[Ptarmigan]

I know its still early but the SAL (Saharan Air Layer) is being mighty stubborn and looking dominant across the whole Atlantic. This is attributing to the waves coming off Africa and "poofing" out. The African drought could cause even more SAL thus decreasing the mighty Cape Verde storms. All these preseason storm total predictions by all the prognosticators ( NOAA, Prof. Gray, etc) could be in danger if the current conditions do not change.

The SAL is actually not that bad and even the dry air in the central Atlantic is getting ready to be crushed as the persistent ridge that has been in place over the NE Atlantic begins to move west as indicated by all guidance. It is that time of year again I see...when newbies begin to worry when there is nothing to worry about

I know last year there was a heat wave over Russia and Europe, while Pakistan flooded. Those events help suppress tropical activity that time.

[Meteorcane]

And naturally is incredibly low as we enter the heart of the season.