Which invests will be classified as TC'S? (92L,93L,94L)

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cycloneye
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Which invests will be classified as TC'S? (92L,93L,94L)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 12, 2011 8:22 am

Is not a poll with options,but is a question for the members to have choices about which invests will be named storms later on.

I say 92L and 93L.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#2 Postby Macrocane » Fri Aug 12, 2011 8:28 am

I say 92L, 93L too. Although 95L may have a small window of opportunity to become a tropical cyclone. I'm still not on board with 94L.
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Aug 12, 2011 8:49 am

92L - Maybe. Probably nothing intense.

93L - Likely. Dangerous potential.

94L - Not likely.

95L - Small window of opportunity.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#4 Postby FireRat » Fri Aug 12, 2011 9:16 am

93L, 92L, 94L

93L being quite dangerous and could be a significant event during August 15-19 for eastern Caribbean. Gotta watch that one.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#5 Postby dwsqos2 » Fri Aug 12, 2011 9:22 am

93L seems likely, though there is a question of when genesis occurs. We could be waiting up to a week on that one.

92L has kind of unfavorable conditions ahead of it. So, I'm going with no genesis.

94L is more impressive at the surface than either 92L or 93L. Models have been spitting out progressively stronger solutions, but I will say no for now.

95L despite being kind of attractive I'll say no to that one as well.

I vote 93L and 93L exclusively.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#6 Postby hcane27 » Fri Aug 12, 2011 11:20 am

My thought ... none of them become "named" storms.
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#7 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Aug 12, 2011 11:31 am

As of current, my thinking:

93L has the best chance to organize and develop. It is at a bit lower latitude than 92L and more favobable conditions to become a named tropical cyclone within the next 72 hours, although the convection has waned today.

92L is increasingly encountering less conducive atmospheric conditions to develop. It too is battling the dry air surrounding 94L as well.

94L and 95L have small windows for development. 94L may have a chance IF it can survive the next couple of days through the dry air and shear. 95L actually looks better this morning on satellite and may get to be a named cyclone before becoming extratropical over the weekend.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#8 Postby dwsqos2 » Fri Aug 12, 2011 12:26 pm

Yep..I'm changing my forecast to no genesis at all for any of the invests.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#9 Postby Florida1118 » Fri Aug 12, 2011 2:16 pm

Man...60%, 50%, and 40% and no one seems to want to bite...no faith :lol: I go with Development of 95L, 92L, and 93L. And sure why not, 94L.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#10 Postby wxman57 » Fri Aug 12, 2011 2:30 pm

95L and 96L. What? 96L hasn't been named an invest yet? Look west of Bermuda near 32N/72W.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#11 Postby GCANE » Fri Aug 12, 2011 2:42 pm

93L only.
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#12 Postby somethingfunny » Fri Aug 12, 2011 2:57 pm

95L, 92L, and 93L. In that order, I hope. Harvey's the name I want. :cheesy:

94L has got no shot IMO, and 93L is the most likely to be something at some point.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#13 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Aug 12, 2011 3:06 pm

wxman57 wrote:95L and 96L. What? 96L hasn't been named an invest yet? Look west of Bermuda near 32N/72W.


Yes WxMan I've noticed the same area. It will probably get its own circle soon, maybe 8pm. We already saw one frontal system produce two tropical storms with Bret and Cindy. Perhaps this one will do the same.

Also, I think 3 out of the 4 current invests will get classified. I'm skeptical of 94L.
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#14 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Aug 12, 2011 3:57 pm

95l became td6

94l will probably develop into a tropical storm of 60mph and threaten Bermuda

93l I think will become a bad mofo in the long run

92l might become a minimal tropical storm

so basically I all of these develop and 93l becomes a real dangerous issue in the long run
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Re: Which invests will be named storms (92L,93L,94L,95L)

#15 Postby cycloneye » Fri Aug 12, 2011 4:05 pm

The thread will remain open despite 95L being classified for the members to comment about the other invests.
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Re: Which invests will be classified as TC'S? (92L,93L,94L)

#16 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Aug 12, 2011 5:49 pm

92L-Tropical Storm, possibly first hurricane. Goes out to sea.
93L-The one to watch. Could be our first major hurricane.

Since TD6 developed and could be Franklin. The next names are Gert and Harvey.
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Re: Which invests will be classified as TC'S? (92L,93L,94L)

#17 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 12, 2011 10:01 pm

93L-Definitely though it may take a few days. If it doesn't become a real storm I am probably going to give up on this season ever doing anything.

94L-Unlikely

92L-Probable

so I say 92L and 93L
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