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MJO Forecast
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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'CaneFreak
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MJO Forecast
If anyone believes the ENS GFS's MJO predictions for the next two weeks, can you say FAIL for the Atlantic and GOOOOOOOOOD for the Indian Ocean???? If this pans out, see you in 2080 when the next warm AMO sets up...
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Re: MJO Forecast
'CaneFreak wrote:If anyone believes the ENS GFS's MJO predictions for the next two weeks, can you say FAIL for the Atlantic and GOOOOOOOOOD for the Indian Ocean???? If this pans out, see you in 2080 when the next warm AMO sets up...
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What are you talking about? Phases 1 and 2 is where the Atlantic is most active.
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cycloneye
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Re: MJO Forecast
The wet MJO is arriving right now in the Atlantic and will be more humid after the 22nd of August.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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lonelymike
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Re: MJO Forecast
I've heard rants for and against the MJO....is there any statistical or other scientific studies that validate for either camp?
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GO SEMINOLES
Re: MJO Forecast
lonelymike wrote:I've heard rants for and against the MJO....is there any statistical or other scientific studies that validate for either camp?
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Publications/klotzbach2010.pdf
Page 287 on the actual page or page 6 of the document shows a table which clearly shows the atlantic is 2 to 3 times as active during phase 1 and 2 then during phases 6 and 7.
The biggest difference is there are greater then 3 times more major hurricane days during phases 1 and 2 then compared to phases 6 and 7.
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'CaneFreak
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Re: MJO Forecast
Why thank you sir...I didn't know that...I appreciate you correcting me...DOH! Do you know what phases we were in 2004, 2005, 2008 or where I can find an archive of these maps? Thanks in advance!
EDIT: Now that I am out of school, I finally have time to read studies such as these...thanks again for sharing! That will be added to my library of TC papers
EDIT: Now that I am out of school, I finally have time to read studies such as these...thanks again for sharing! That will be added to my library of TC papers
RL3AO wrote:lonelymike wrote:I've heard rants for and against the MJO....is there any statistical or other scientific studies that validate for either camp?
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Publications/klotzbach2010.pdf
Page 287 on the actual page or page 6 of the document shows a table which clearly shows the atlantic is 2 to 3 times as active during phase 1 and 2 then during phases 6 and 7.
The biggest difference is there are greater then 3 times more major hurricane days during phases 1 and 2 then compared to phases 6 and 7.
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