Disturbance south of Jose
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Hurricaneman
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northjaxpro
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You know, this area has persisted since early Saturday, and kind of broke away from the little system that was being sheared which is now Jose. This area has steadily increased in convection coverage the past 24 hours. It is something to watch should this area continues to persist in the short term.
Again, several systems have developed north of 25N latitude this season, and if this somehow developed, it would not be surprising for me.
Again, several systems have developed north of 25N latitude this season, and if this somehow developed, it would not be surprising for me.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Aric Dunn
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There is plenty of model support. going to have a hard time for the next few days with the shear. however the shear is the main reason why there is so much convection. So if something gets going at the surface then the shear should decrease. the motion of the system by that time is going to be tricky. ridging should be build back in north of that area in the next day or two but how much will determine how much this moves. could just drift around for a while till a trough comes along and picks it up.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: Disturbance south of Jose
wxman57 wrote:That was 91L a few days ago.
This system ? 91L shot north behind JOSE or was that old 98L ? this system now is mostly left over energy from irene. Unless we are talking about a different area. ?
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Aric Dunn
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A weak low may be developing with this system. watch it tomorrow for signs of organizing.
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
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Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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northjaxpro
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Yeah Aric it does appear looking at satellite imagery that a hint of a circulation may be forming in an area at around 30N 67W, roughly about 150-200 miles S/SW of Bermuda. If this system goes on to develop and get named a TS, it would be the fifth tropical entity to form in the SW Atlantic basin north of 25 degrees latitude, joining Bret, Cindy, Franklin, and Jose if I am not mistaken.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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djones65
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In my opinion, this moisture is 98L that moved from west Africa and then turned westward around 26N latitude. An upper level cyclone just northwest of 98L is what turned into 91L and then eventually Jose. While 98L with a very weak trough/dissipating low pressure area remained to the southeast of Jose and continued westward to its current position. So this region is in my opinion the "remnants" of 98L.
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Florida1118
Re: Disturbance south of Jose
If this becomes Katia...and TD12 is Lee...This would be a very odd system to just pop up.
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