Tropical Wave east of Lesser Antilles

[colbroe]

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 24w to the south of 12n.
Isolated moderate convective precipitation is from 2n to 12n
between 17w and 32w. It is easily possible that not all the
precipitation in that area is a direct result of the 24w
tropical wave.

[colbroe]

A tropical wave is S of the Cape Verde Islands along 25w/26w to
the south of 14n. The SSMI total precipitable water imagery
shows an area of significant moisture off the coast of W Africa
from 2n-16n E 0f 27w. Isolated moderate convection is from
5n-12n between 23w-28w.

[OURAGAN]

You are right:

[gatorcane]

Gaining lattitude from that image above. Not a surprise

[HurricaneFan]

I was asking about this wave in the model thread.So what do the models say about this wave in terms of track and intensity?

[cycloneye]

I was asking about this wave in the model thread.So what do the models say about this wave in terms of track and intensity?

The global models dont show anything after Maria in the MDR. That can change in next runs.

[HurricaneFan]

I was asking about this wave in the model thread.So what do the models say about this wave in terms of track and intensity?

The global models dont show anything after Maria in the MDR. That can change in next runs.

But why wouldn't they pick up on a wave that's looking so suspicious?

[colbroe]

..Tropical waves...
tropical wave in the E tropical Atlc is along 26w/27w S of 14n
with a 1011 mb low along the wave near 9n moving W near 15 kt.
Wave is embedded within an area of deep layer moisture as
depicted on the total precipitable water imagery and is well
defined in the upper level satellite winds. Scattered showers/
isolated thunderstorms are from 11n-13n between 24w-28w and from
5n-8n between 27w-31w.

[colbroe]

Tropical wave is WSW of Cape Verde Islands analyzed from 17n27w
to 9n28w moving W 10-15 kt. Wave is embedded within an area of
deep layer moisture as depicted on the total precipitable water
imagery and is well defined in the low level cloud field on
visible satellite imagery. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are within 120 nm on either side of the wave axis

[colbroe]

Tropical wave is W of Cape Verde Islands from 18n27w to 8n29w
moving W 10-15 kt. The wave is embedded within an area of deep
layer moisture as depicted on the total precipitable water
imagery and is well defined in the low level cloud field on
satellite imagery. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are within 120 nm on either side of the wave axis.

[colbroe]

Tropical wave in the E tropical Atlc is analyzed from 16n29w to
3n35w moving W near 15 kt. Wave is embedded within an area of
deep layer moisture as depicted on the total precipitable water
imagery and is well defined in the upper level satellite winds.
Scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms are within
150 nm W of the wave between 11n-15n.

[colbroe]

Tropical wave in the E tropical Atlc is analyzed from 16n30w to
3n36w moving W near 15 kt. Wave is embedded within an area of
deep layer moisture as depicted on the total precipitable water
imagery and is well defined in the upper level satellite winds.
Scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms are within
200 nm W of the wave between 11n-15n and isolated showers and
possible isolated thunderstorms are within 200 nm nm either side
of the wave S of 11n.

[colbroe]

TROPICAL WAVE IN THE E TROPICAL ATLC IS ANALYZED FROM 17N34W TO
6N40W MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. WAVE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF
DEEP LAYER MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY AND IS WELL DEFINED IN THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD FIELD ON
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 200 NM ON EITHER SIDE OF THE
WAVE AXIS.

[colbroe]

Tropical wave in the central tropical Atlc is analyzed from
18n35w to 6n40w moving W near 15 kt. Wave is embedded within an
area of deep layer moisture as depicted on the total
precipitable water imagery and is well defined in the low level
cloud field satellite imagery. Scattered showers and possible
isolated thunderstorms are within 180 nm on either side of the
wave axis.

[lonelymike]

Any model support?

[colbroe]

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 17n37w 12n41w 5n45w.
Scattered strong convective precipitation is from 10n to 12n
between 36w and 40w. Isolated moderate precipitation is
elsewhere from rainshowers are from 3n to 17n between 33w and
57w. Some of that precipitation may not be related just to the
tropical wave.

[cycloneye]

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

[underthwx]

40% later on? C.E.???....



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[Caribwxgirl]

Underthwx you could be correct. Its looks to be getting pretty organised to these untrained eyes of mine.

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

There's a trough to the north of the system that will make it difficult to develop

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-wv.html