EURO teasing coastal TX days 4-7 and status on #10

[Stormsfury]

EURO still honking and consistent with the GOM feature days 4-6, hovering off the TX coast for days 4-6. With the very complex setup, I believe a number of factors are setting this possible scenario up. The Canadian has a similar setup as well with an area of vorticity (like the ECMWF) moving off the Yucatan and spinning up in the GOM.

Day 4
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

Day 5
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

Day 6
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

Day 7
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

Furthermore, EURO still consistent for the 4th night in a row with #10 - and still consistent in the 20ºN, 60ºW ... and probably a cane by Day 7, if not before...

Day 6
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

Day 7
http://cyclone.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen ... &cu=latest

[Steve]

SF,

I saw you mention the ETA/ECMWF getting back together. In tandem, they did a good job of sniffing out Bill from that pattern. Seeing as we have a somewhat similar setup, I think those are the models that most likely would get this situation right (though the timing and potential landfall area might be different).

ETA 18Z is a little faster with the moisture streaming into East Texas, but it's worth a looksee.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... el_l.shtml

Steve[/url]