2011 TCRs
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- brunota2003
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There are a couple from the EPAC out...Hurricanes Adrian and Eugene.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2011epac.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/2011epac.shtml
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
Look for the rest of the reports to come out in the comming weeks. I am waiting for the Irene one to see if she was a hurricane before landfall in Puerto Rico.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
Two reports from EPAC and North Atlantic were released:
EPAC Hurricane Beatriz is out.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022011_Beatriz.pdf
Also Tropical Storm Gert is out.Peak intensity was upped from 50 kts to 55 kts.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072011_Gert.pdf
EPAC Hurricane Beatriz is out.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022011_Beatriz.pdf
Also Tropical Storm Gert is out.Peak intensity was upped from 50 kts to 55 kts.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072011_Gert.pdf
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
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Re: 2011 TCRs
cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Franklin peak intensity was 40kts
I barely remember the pre-Irene storms (boring they sure were)...that was a downgrade from operational?
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
CrazyC83 wrote:cycloneye wrote:Tropical Storm Franklin peak intensity was 40kts
I barely remember the pre-Irene storms (boring they sure were)...that was a downgrade from operational?
Nothing of a downgrade from operational.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
EPAC Hurricane Dora is up. Peak intensity was 135kts.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP042011_Dora.pdf
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP042011_Dora.pdf
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- HurricaneBelle
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Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042011_Don.pdf
Don is now out. No significant changes.
Does the Don report disappear from your hard drive just before it ends?
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Re: Re:
HurricaneBelle wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042011_Don.pdf
Don is now out. No significant changes.
Does the Don report disappear from your hard drive just before it ends?
Not with me no.
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Re: 2011 TCRs
cycloneye wrote:Look for the rest of the reports to come out in the comming weeks. I am waiting for the Irene one to see if she was a hurricane before landfall in Puerto Rico.
My guess is that she was a hurricane at PR landfall. Also I would personally bring down the peak intensity of Irene from 105 to 100 kt. Landfall intensities in the US I would set at 70, 65 and 60 kt for NC, NJ and NYC, respectively (since the original 80 kt sustained report in NC seems to have been errorneous).
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- HurricaneBelle
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Re: Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:HurricaneBelle wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042011_Don.pdf
Don is now out. No significant changes.
Does the Don report disappear from your hard drive just before it ends?
Not with me no.
Should have put the smiley in there, that was a reference to Don poofing before it could hit Texas.
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- Hurricanehink
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Re: 2011 TCRs
CrazyC83 wrote:cycloneye wrote:Look for the rest of the reports to come out in the comming weeks. I am waiting for the Irene one to see if she was a hurricane before landfall in Puerto Rico.
My guess is that she was a hurricane at PR landfall. Also I would personally bring down the peak intensity of Irene from 105 to 100 kt. Landfall intensities in the US I would set at 70, 65 and 60 kt for NC, NJ and NYC, respectively (since the original 80 kt sustained report in NC seems to have been errorneous).
IDK, there weren't any reports of any winds anywhere near hurricane force in New Jersey. In addition, I saw a surface wind analysis by the HRD, and they only estimated peak winds of 58 knots (occurring well off-shore). I suppose, if a storm had hurricane force winds in its eastern quadrant, but those winds didn't affect land, that would still count as a hurricane landfall, right?
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- MGC
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Re: 2011 TCRs
If there were any hurricane force winds with Irene along the NJ coast they would have been offshore. My kids in the Tidewater VA area said winds only got up to TS force at their houses....MGC
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Re: 2011 TCRs
Hurricanehink wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:cycloneye wrote:Look for the rest of the reports to come out in the comming weeks. I am waiting for the Irene one to see if she was a hurricane before landfall in Puerto Rico.
My guess is that she was a hurricane at PR landfall. Also I would personally bring down the peak intensity of Irene from 105 to 100 kt. Landfall intensities in the US I would set at 70, 65 and 60 kt for NC, NJ and NYC, respectively (since the original 80 kt sustained report in NC seems to have been errorneous).
IDK, there weren't any reports of any winds anywhere near hurricane force in New Jersey. In addition, I saw a surface wind analysis by the HRD, and they only estimated peak winds of 58 knots (occurring well off-shore). I suppose, if a storm had hurricane force winds in its eastern quadrant, but those winds didn't affect land, that would still count as a hurricane landfall, right?
That is correct, the winds were well offshore. I believe there was an SFMR reading of 66 kt about 3 hours before it made that landfall - but that was over 100 miles into the Atlantic. Also at NYC landfall, the strongest winds were over Rhode Island and eastern Long Island - NYC saw mid-range TS conditions (strongest sustained there was about 45 kt).
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- brunota2003
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Actual obs with recon supported winds only up to 55 or 60 knots after Irene moved off the NC coast. The wind reduction was much less than normal, and dropsondes dropped in the max wind bands were only recording ~52 knots at the surface. My guess for NJ and NYC landfalls are both TS strength.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2011 TCRs
EPAC Hurricane Calvin report is up. Peak intensity was 70kts.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032011_Calvin.pdf
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032011_Calvin.pdf
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Nate TCR out - UPGRADED TO HURRICANE based on data from oil rigs not available operationally
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152011_Nate.pdf
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL152011_Nate.pdf
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