Area at 9n 48w

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islandguy246

Area at 9n 48w

#1 Postby islandguy246 » Fri Sep 30, 2011 9:03 am

Looks to have some cyclonic turning on satellite loop...

Any thoughts?

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wxman57
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Re: Area at 9n 48w

#2 Postby wxman57 » Fri Sep 30, 2011 1:07 pm

It's part of the same tropical wave that spawned Philippe. Very low development potential east of the Caribbean. This could be the first disturbance that DOESN'T develop in the eastern Atlantic and makes it into the Caribbean. It's such disturbances that are often the source of development in the western Caribbean this time of year. Something to watch in a week or so, maybe.
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Re: Area at 9n 48w

#3 Postby LarryWx » Fri Sep 30, 2011 3:16 pm

wxman57 wrote:It's part of the same tropical wave that spawned Philippe. Very low development potential east of the Caribbean. This could be the first disturbance that DOESN'T develop in the eastern Atlantic and makes it into the Caribbean. It's such disturbances that are often the source of development in the western Caribbean this time of year. Something to watch in a week or so, maybe.


Agreed. Unlike Philippe (I had disagreed with rainstorm to some extent about this), something forming here cannot be assumed to be a near certain fish (as regards the CONUS), especially considering the ridging over the CONUS being projected.
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