12:00 UTC Tropical model suite

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cycloneye
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12:00 UTC Tropical model suite

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 28, 2003 8:10 am

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082812

Still the tracks are to the west and no fish to it and scary to all who live in the northern islands.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Aug 28, 2003 9:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby Tip » Thu Aug 28, 2003 8:17 am

Seems as though DSHP and SHIP weaking of the storm after 96hrs may be connected to this part of the 10D discussion.

THE OFFICIAL
INTENSITY FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE SHIPS MODEL THROUGH 72
HOURS...BUT THEN LESS THAN THE 79 KT IT FORECASTS BY 120 HOURS.
THIS IS DUE TO DRY MID-LEVEL AIR POSSIBLY BECOMING A FACTOR.
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#3 Postby ameriwx2003 » Thu Aug 28, 2003 8:28 am

Tip... thats the Eastern Pacific storm that weakens after 96 hours. The future Fabian is below that and the SHIPS and DSHPS bring it to 85 Knots at 120 hrs:):):):)
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#4 Postby zoeyann » Thu Aug 28, 2003 8:35 am

How accurate is SHIPS at determining future intensity?
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#5 Postby Tip » Thu Aug 28, 2003 8:40 am

Oops sorry about that. The quote is OK.
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