The atlantic has FABIAN !!!!! Tropical models start at 40kts

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cycloneye
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The atlantic has FABIAN !!!!! Tropical models start at 40kts

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 28, 2003 1:47 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082818

Upgrade at 5 PM 1004 mbs making it TS Fabian and they keep it on a west to westnorthwest track as ships and dships have it as a hurricane in 3 days.
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Aug 28, 2003 3:09 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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#2 Postby Colin » Thu Aug 28, 2003 1:51 pm

WOW!!! :o Thanks for the update Luis!! ;)
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#3 Postby BreinLa » Thu Aug 28, 2003 1:53 pm

Yea, thanks Ceye here we go!!!!!!!!!
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Fabian

#4 Postby wxman57 » Thu Aug 28, 2003 2:23 pm

No big surprise there. About time, 12Z Dvorak estimated 45 kts.

Oh, and one caveat about the GFS run is that NCEP says that the current runs are NOT incorporating some initialization data (like QuickSCAT winds). So use the GFS with caution.
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#5 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Aug 28, 2003 2:37 pm

Thanks for the update too! Let the show begin!
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Rainband

Rutt ro???

#6 Postby Rainband » Thu Aug 28, 2003 2:49 pm

EXTENDED (SUN-THU): BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF
WILL HELP BRING DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IN THE STATE DURING
THE PERIOD WHICH WILL UP THE HEAVY RAIN CONCERN. HAVE BUMPED UP
POPS TO 50%. TROPICAL DEPRESSION #10 SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM UNTIL
AFTER THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
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Re: Rutt ro???

#7 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Aug 28, 2003 3:03 pm

Rainband wrote:EXTENDED (SUN-THU): BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF
WILL HELP BRING DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE IN THE STATE DURING
THE PERIOD WHICH WILL UP THE HEAVY RAIN CONCERN. HAVE BUMPED UP
POPS TO 50%. TROPICAL DEPRESSION #10 SHOULD NOT BE A PROBLEM UNTIL
AFTER THE EXTENDED PERIOD.


I presume this is for Florida Johnathan? It gives no indication in the discussion portion you copied.
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#8 Postby ameriwx2003 » Thu Aug 28, 2003 3:14 pm

David. Rainbands quote was from the Tampa AFD:):)
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